Fantasy baseball is a marathon, not a sprint. Unlike other fantasy sports, the season is long and drags as the weeks roll on. However, because it is such a grind, fantasy managers can lose focus on what is important and what is not, which allows astute fantasy managers to take advantage.
We are very early in the season, when people will make bad trades because of small sample sizes. Hot streaks and cold streaks can scare your competition, and sometimes, underlying numbers aren’t showing up on the surface numbers quite yet.
If someone in your league is ready to overreact, take advantage of their impatience. Here are some players I would try to buy low and sell high right now.
- Fantasy Baseball Trade Analyzer
- Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Assistant
- Fantasy Baseball Lineup Assistant
- MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
Fantasy Baseball Players to Buy Low & Sell High
Buy Low
Ketel Marte (2B, DH – ARI)
Ketel Marte has struggled so far this season, hitting .209/.262/.353 with five home runs and zero stolen bases in 149 plate appearances.
However, the underlying power metrics are fine, and he is just getting unlucky with his batting average on balls in play (BABIP). His xBA is .289, and his contact numbers are fine. He will bounce back quickly.
Bo Bichette (3B, SS – NYM)
Bo Bichette is hitting .237/.276/.309 with two home runs and one stolen base. However, he is getting unlucky with his BABIP and is hitting the ball harder than he has since 2022. It’s a matter of time before it turns around for him and the Mets as a whole.
Reid Detmers (SP, RP – LAA)
I have not been a big Reid Detmers believer in the past, but despite the mediocre surface numbers, I am pretty intrigued by what he is doing.
Detmers has a career walk rate of 9%, but this year, he is attacking hitters early in at-bats and has a 5.4% walk rate, and it feels pretty legitimate. The stuff has always been pretty good, but the inability to locate has always been the issue; it appears he is beginning to figure that out.
Sell High
Ozzie Albies (2B – ATL)
Ozzie Albies has been amazing to start the season, hitting .322/.374/.541 with eight home runs. However, he has a .322 BABIP, which isn’t terribly high, but it is much higher than his career .289 BABIP.
Albies isn’t hitting the ball tremendously hard regularly. I think he will likely drop off in power and average. Since he isn’t running effectively right now, he’s an easy sell.
Eduardo Rodriguez (SP – ARI)
Eduardo Rodriguez has started out the season hot, throwing with a 2.50 ERA in 39.2 innings over seven starts. However, it’s been mostly luck.
Rodriguez has an extremely low BABIP, a high strand rate and is walking way too many batters. This will regress hard and fast, so you should look to move him ASAP for whatever you can get.
Mickey Moniak (OF – COL)
Mickey Moniak has started out hot, hitting .318/.367/.700 with 11 home runs and a stolen base. The problem is that he is getting very lucky, with a .343 BABIP, which has led him to overperform. His xBA is .243.
Moniak is still terrible versus lefties and is much worse on the road. That will come back to bite him here as things warm up around the country. Sell him before he comes back down to Earth.
Davis Martin (SP – CWS)
Davis Martin has been fantastic so far, but a lot of it is smoke and mirrors. He has been lucky in the BABIP and strand rate, and the stuff has been well below average.
As things warm up, he will begin to give up a lot more home runs, and the regression could be harsh.
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