Josh Shepardson | Mon, May 4th 2026, 5:43am EDT

MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Monday (5/4)

Monday’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel features eight games, starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Underdog pick’em picks are also from those eight games. Let’s dive into today’s top MLB DFS picks.

Monday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props

Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (5/4)

Cam Schlittler (SP – NYY) vs. Baltimore Orioles

According to FanGraphs, among 72 qualified pitchers this season, Cam Schlittler is third in ERA (1.51), third in xERA (2.41), second in xFIP (2.43), first in SIERA (2.54), first in WHIP (0.74) and fifth in strikeout rate (31.4%). New York’s righty has pitched at an elite level to start this season.

Schlittler has a good matchup and rock-solid betting info tonight. The Orioles are tied for 14th in wRC+ (100) with a 24.4% strikeout rate versus righties and tied for 27th in wRC+ (76) with a 27% strikeout rate on the road in 2026. The Yankees are -205 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.

Jose Soriano (SP – LAA) vs. Chicago White Sox

Jose Soriano‘s 0.84 ERA is the lowest among qualified pitchers this year. He’s had luck on his side. Nevertheless, Soriano’s stats through 42.2 innings haven’t been anything to sneeze at:

3.11 xERA
2.98 xFIP
3.23 SIERA
0.94 WHIP
30.1% strikeout rate
14% SwStr%
30.7% CSW%
103 stuff+
106 location+
112 pitching+

The matchup against the White Sox is mixed, but the betting info is stellar. The White Sox are 24th in wRC+ (91) with a 23.6% striekout rate versus righties and are tied for eighth in wRC+ (103) with a 25.3% strikeout rate on the road this year.

Since Soriano is a better pick in GPPs than cash games, Chicago’s success on the road means less than their 25.3% strikeout rate in road contests, as chasing Soriano’s ceiling is all that matters. In addition, the Angels are -160 favorites, and the game’s total is 7.5 runs.

Edward Cabrera (SP – CHC) vs. Cincinnati Reds

Edward Cabrera is an appealing SP2 in all game types at DraftKings and an intriguing GPP pick at FanDuel. The 28-year-old righty has recorded the following stats in six starts, totaling 35.1 innings, this season:

3 wins
3 quality starts
3.06 ERA
3.79 xERA
4.06 xFIP
4.28 SIERA
1.19 WHIP
8.3% walk rate
20.1% strikeout rate
12.4% SwStr%
27.4% CSW%
95 stuff+
105 location+
100 pitching+

Cabrera’s ERA estimators aren’t as impressive as his ERA. Still, he has a desirable matchup tonight.

The Reds are 25th in wRC+ (90) with a 24.5% strikeout rate versus righties and 25th in wRC+ (79) with a 24% strikeout rate on the road this season.

On the plus side of the betting info, the Cubs are -200 favorites. The game’s total of 11.5 runs is alarming, though. Cabrera carries some risk, but, again, he’s an appealing SP2 in all game types at DraftKings and a useful GPP selection at FanDuel.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

Home (Wrigley Field)
Game Total/Moneyline: 11.5 Runs/CHC -200

Chase Petty will get the ball for the Reds tonight. In three appearances (two starts) lasting only six innings last season, Petty was crushed to the tune of a 19.50 ERA, 11.07 xERA, 7.61 xFIP and 6.57 SIERA.

The 23-year-old righty has a 4.38 ERA and 4.11 xFIP in six Triple-A starts this year. Petty hasn’t pitched well enough to suggest he’s ready to handle Big-League hitters, and the Cubs should tee off on him.

Road (T-Mobile Park)
Game Total/Moneyline: 7.5 Runs/ATL +140

The Braves are underdogs, and the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs. Neither of those things should attract attention to the Braves in DFS contests, and T-Mobile Park has the lowest park factor for runs (0.816). Still, the Braves have offensive firepower.

Five of Atlanta’s projected starters have at least a 102 wRC+ against righties since 2024, with four posting at least a 112 wRC+. Additionally, seven of the projected starters have erupted for at least a 123 wRC+ against righties in 2026.

The Braves have enough talent to exceed expectations, making them an alluring GPP stack against Logan Gilbert and his underwhelming 4.03 ERA through seven starts this year.

Core Studs

Seiya Suzuki has hit 43 home runs with a .340 on-base percentage (OBP), .219 ISO, .355 wOBA and 130 wRC+ in 973 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
Matt Olson has ripped off 32 runs, 11 homers, 31 RBI, a .380 OBP, .350 ISO, .433 wOBA and 177 wRC+ in 158 plate appearances this season.
Alex Bregman has hit 35 dingers with a .329 OBP, .193 ISO, .340 wOBA and 119 wRC+ in 920 plate appearances against righties since 2024.

Value Plays/Punts

Michael Harris has logged 13 runs, seven homers, 22 RBI, two stolen bases, a .354 OBP, .236 ISO, .395 wOBA and 151 wRC+ in 113 plate appearances this year.
Moises Ballesteros has hit seven homers with a .380 OBP, .228 ISO, .397 wOBA and 157 wRC+ in 142 plate appearances against righties since reaching the Majors last year.
Cole Young has amassed 20 runs, three homers, 19 RBI, two stolen bases, a .333 OBP, .124 ISO, .325 wOBA and 109 wRC+ in 135 plate appearances this season.

Monday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Logan Gilbert (SP – SEA): 18.5 Outs — Lower (0.79x Payout)

Logan Gilbert has recorded fewer than 18.5 outs in six of his seven starts in 2026, including three straight. Furthermore, Gilbert has exceeded 18.5 outs in only four out of 32 starts since last season.

Moises Ballesteros (C – CHC): 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs — Higher (1.03x Payout)

Moises Ballesteros has recorded 26 hits, 14 runs, 18 RBI, a .317 batting average, .380 OBP, .280 ISO, .421 wOBA and 171 wRC+ in 30 games and 92 plate appearances this season.

Ian Happ (OF – CHC): 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs — Higher (0.84x Payout)

Ian Happ has tallied 30 hits, 25 runs, 15 RBI, a .248 batting average, .381 OBP, .264 ISO, .390 wOBA and 150 wRC+ in 32 games and 147 plate appearances this season.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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