Josh Shepardson | Tue, Jun 23rd 2026, 4:42am EDT

MLB DFS Picks & Lineup Advice: Tuesday (6/23)

Tuesday’s MLB DFS main slate features nine games, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Tuesday’s Top MLB DFS Picks

Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (6/23)

Parker Messick (SP – CLE) at Chicago White Sox

Parker Messick is having a stellar 2026 campaign. According to FanGraphs, he’s amassed the following numbers in 15 starts spanning 86.2 innings:

7 wins
5 quality starts
2.70 ERA
3.34 xERA
3.44 xFIP
3.62 SIERA
1.10 WHIP
8.1 BB%
26.4 K%
11.7 SwStr%
26.8 CSW%
96 stuff+
106 location+
105 pitching+

Messick’s matchup is mixed. The White Sox have hammered lefties, ranking fourth in wRC+ (110) with a 24.8 K% versus lefties, and they’ve been above average at home, ranking 11th in wRC+ (106) with a 21.7 K% at home in 2026. However, Chicago is tied for 22nd in wRC+ (87) with a 25.2 K% in the previous 30 days. The Guardians are only -110 favorites, but the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.0 runs.

Shane Baz (SP – BAL) at Los Angeles Angels

Shane Baz is outkicking his peripherals, but he’s in rock-solid form. In his previous five starts, totaling 31.2 innings, Baz has knocked off the following numbers:

3 wins
3 quality starts
2.56 ERA
4.37 xERA
3.94 xFIP
4.10 SIERA
1.20 WHIP
6.8 BB%
21.1 K%
10.7 SwStr%
27.5 CSW%
96 stuff+
103 location+
100 pitching+

Baz’s matchup is tasty, and his betting info is decent. The Angels are tied for 15th in wRC+ (100) with a 24.8 K% versus righties and tied for last in wRC+ (83) with a 25.1 K% at home this year. They are also 29th in wRC+ (76) with a 31.0 K% in the previous 30 days. Thus, the Orioles are -156 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.

Sean Burke (SP – CWS) vs. Cleveland Guardians

Sean Burke is dinged at FanDuel, where they score quality starts. The White Sox have listed him as a starter only to pull the rug out from gamers and use an opener. Burke can’t get a quality start if he’s a bulk reliever. Nevertheless, in his last five appearances (three starts), Burke has ripped off the following stats:

2 wins
1 quality start
3.54 ERA
3.55 xERA
3.87 xFIP
3.72 SIERA
1.25 WHIP
13.2 BB%
30.7 K%
12.3 SwStr%
30.0 CSW%
98 stuff+
99 location+
99 pitching+

Burke’s matchups are excellent, and his betting info is decent, squaring off with the aforementioned Messick. The Guardians are 25th in wRC+ (92) with a 21.5 K% versus righties and 27th in wRC+ (86) with a 22.5 K% on the road this season. Cleveland is also tied for 17th in wRC+ (96) with a 23.0 K% in the previous 30 days. The White Sox are slight underdogs (-105), but the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.0 runs.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

Home (Oracle Park )
Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/SF -125

The Giants have a plus matchup against Aaron Civale tonight. The veteran righty has a 4.91 ERA, 5.53 xERA, 5.21 xFIP, 5.13 SIERA and 1.59 WHIP in a dozen starts this season. Civale has coughed up a .414 wOBA to lefties and a .330 wOBA. In addition, the relievers for the Athletics are ranked 28th in ERA (5.02) this season.

Road (Angel Stadium)
Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/BAL -156

Roster Resource projects Ryan Johnson to start tonight, and he’s not a big-league caliber starting pitcher. The 23-year-old right-handed pitcher has a 12.83 ERA, 6.27 xERA, 6.66 xFIP, 6.19 SIERA and 2.33 WHIP in five appearances (two starts) for the Angels this season. He also has tossed only five innings in Triple-A and 20.1 in Double-A. Johnson lacks seasoning in the upper-minors, and the bullpen behind him stinks. The Orioles can tee off against him.

Core Studs

Gunnar Henderson has swatted 53 homers with a .356 on-base percentage (OBP), .221 ISO, .376 wOBA and 140 wRC+ in 1,207 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
JJ Bleday has belted 13 bombs with 28 runs, 35 RBI, two stolen bases, a .349 OBP, .287 ISO, .378 wOBA and 136 wRC+ in 213 plate appearances this season.
Bryce Eldridge is a powerhouse, with six homers, 19 runs, 16 RBI, ,a .389 OBP, .218 ISO, .391 wOBA, .381 expected wOBA (xwOBA) and 153 wRC+ in 144 plate appearances this year.

Value Plays/Punts

Samuel Basallo has taken a step forward in his second season in the Majors, hitting 10 homers with 27 runs, 31 RBI, a .321 OBP, .189 ISO, .333 wOBA, .334 xwOBA and 112 wRC+ in 240 plate appearances in 2026.
Luis Arraez has hit three homers with 40 runs, 30 RBI, six stolen bases, a .357 OBP, .125 ISO, .345 wOBA, .303 xwOBA and 121 wRC+ in 330 plate appearances this season.
Colton Cowser has hit 38 homers with a .317 OBP, .203 ISO, .326 wOBA and 112 wRC+ in 855 plate appearances against righties since 2024.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

NFL

MLB

NBA

NHL