Josh Shepardson | Fri, Aug 7th 2026, 7:19am EDT

MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Friday (8/7)

Friday’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel features 12 games, starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Underdog player props are also from those 12 games.

Friday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props

Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (8/7)

Payton Tolle (SP – BOS) vs. Athletics

Payton Tolle is rolling. According to FanGraphs, in his previous five starts spanning 26.2 innings, the lefty has logged the following stats:

2 wins
2 quality starts
3.04 ERA
2.40 xERA
2.78 xFIP
2.71 SIERA
1.24 WHIP
5.5 BB%
32.7 K%
17.3 SwStr%
29.3 CSW%
113 stuff+
104 location+
116 pitching+

The young southpaw has a plus matchup and betting info tonight. The Athletics are tied for 10th in wRC+ (98) with a 24.7 K% versus lefties and 29th in wRC+ (82) with a 24.0 K% on the road in 2026. The A’s are also tied for 27th in wRC+ (81) with a 23.4 K% in the previous 30 days and 30th in wRC+ (66) with a 23.0 K% in the previous 14 days. Thus, the Red Sox are -255 favorites, and the game’s total is 9.0 runs.

Drew Rasmussen (SP – TB) at Seattle Mariners

All a healthy Drew Rasmussen does is pitch well. He hasn’t had a full-season ERA north of 3.00 since making a dozen relief appearances and totaling 15.1 innings in his debut for the Brewers in 2020. In 21 starts spanning 117.1 innings this season, the veteran righty has recorded the following numbers:

10 wins
12 quality starts
2.91 ERA
3.14 xERA
3.13 xFIP
3.19 SIERA
0.93 WHIP
4.3 BB%
26.5 K%
11.6 SwStr%
27.9 CSW%
109 stuff+
109 location+
115 pitching+

Rasmussen’s matchup is adequate, and his betting info is decent. The Mariners are tied for 10th in wRC+ (105) with a 22.5 K% versus righties and ninth in wRC+ (108) with a 23.6 K% at home this year. Seattle is also tied for 16th in wRC+ (94) with a 21.4 K% in the previous 30 days and tied for 10th in wRC+ (101) with a 22.3 K% in the previous 14 days. The Rays are underdogs (EVEN), but the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.0 runs.

Roki Sasaki (SP – LAD) at Arizona Diamondbacks

Roki Sasaki‘s season has been a rollercoaster ride, and he previously appeared to have turned the corner before crashing and burning. Still, in his last four starts, totaling 24 innings, Sasaki has twirled the following sparkling numbers:

2 wins
2 quality starts
2.25 ERA
2.60 xERA
3.33 xFIP
3.47 SIERA
1.00 WHIP
7.4 BB%
27.7 K%
17.4 SwStr%
32.0 CSW%
115 stuff+
108 location+
124 pitching+

Sasaki could faceplant again, but he has a good matchup and OK betting info.

The Diamondbacks are 29th in wRC+ (88) with a 20.0 K% versus righties and tied for 19th in wRC+ (102) with a 17.2 K% at home this season. Arizona is eighth in wRC+ (110) with an 18.4 K% in the previous 30 days and eighth in wRC+ (104) with a 16.3 K% in the previous 14 days, though. Finally, the Dodgers are -166 favorites, albeit with a bloated game total of 9.5 runs. Sasaki is a more appealing selection in GPPs than in cash games.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

Home (loanDepot park )
Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/MIA -165

The Marlins have a mouthwatering matchup with George Klassen tonight. The 24-year-old righty has lasted only 4.2 innings in his first two starts in the Majors for the Angels, allowing seven hits, 10 walks and seven runs (six earned runs). He also had an unimpressive 3.96 ERA in 19 Triple-A starts, which was markedly better than his 4.71 xERA and 5.02 xFIP. In addition, the Angels rank 21st in bullpen ERA (4.30) in 2026. Miami can tee off tonight.

Road (Kauffman Stadium)
Game Total/Moneyline: Unlisted/CHC -170

The Royals haven’t announced a starter, but Roster Resource projects Mason Black to be recalled from Triple-A and start. Black’s 3.57 ERA in a dozen relief appearances and 17.2 innings for the Royals this year is fake. His 7.61 xERA, 6.02 xFIP and 5.20 SIERA are putrid. Moreover, Black has allowed a .397 wOBA to lefties and a .346 wOBA to righties this season. Even if the Royals opt for a bullpen game, that’s favorable for Chicago’s offensive outlook, as Kansas City’s relievers rank 29th in ERA (5.37).

Core Studs

Pete Crow-Armstrong is having a monstrous season at the dish, drilling 26 dingers with 80 runs, 69 RBIs, 29 stolen bases, a .386 OBP, .261 ISO, .400 wOBA and 156 wRC+ in 511 plate appearances.
Otto Lopez has ripped nine round-trippers with 69 runs, 51 RBIs, 23 stolen bases, a .351 OBP, .156 ISO, .355 wOBA and 123 wRC+ in 485 plate appearances this year.
Kyle Stowers has hit 42 homers with a .344 OBP, .247 ISO, .364 wOBA and 133 wRC+ in 819 plate appearances against righties since 2024.

Value Plays/Punts

Griffin Conine has hit 10 homers with 21 runs, 22 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .344 OBP, .257 ISO, .371 wOBA and 134 wRC+ in 154 plate appearances in 2026.
Xavier Edwards has hit six homers with 52 runs, 41 RBIs, 18 stolen bases, a .369 OBP, .107 ISO, .337 wOBA and 111 wRC+ in 484 plate appearances this year.
Max Clark has hit one homer with a .448 OBP, .208 ISO, .432 wOBA and 182 wRC+ through his first 29 plate appearances for the Tigers after logging a 116 wRC+ in 418 plate appearances in Triple-A this season.

Friday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Nathan Eovaldi (SP – MIL): 6.5 Strikeouts — Higher

Nathan Eovaldi has a 25.3 K%, 14.9 SwStr% and 29.6 CSW% in 21 starts this season. He also has a 29.2 K% in 50 innings at home. Eovaldi has cleared 6.5 strikeouts in six of eight home starts this season, and he has a plus matchup for strikeouts tonight. The Orioles are 27th in strikeout rate (23.9 K%) versus righties and 29th in strikeout rate (25.6 K%) on the road this season. Baltimore is also 26th in strikeout rate (25.3 K%) in the previous 30 days and 26th in strikeout rate (25.9 K%) in the previous 14 days.

Logan Gilbert (SP – SEA): 5.5 Strikeouts — Higher

Logan Gilbert‘s matchup is a nightmare for strikeouts. Regardless, he’s a strikeout whiz. The 29-year-old righty has a 26.6 K%, 13.9 SwStr% and 28.7 CSW% in 22 starts this year. Gilbert also has a 28.8 K% in 78.2 innings at home this year, striking out more than 5.5 batters in 10 of 13 home starts.

Shohei Ohtani (SP, DH – LAD): 1.5 Total Bases — Higher

Shohei Ohtani has rattled off 70 singles, 22 doubles, two triples, 26 homers, a .297 batting average, .301 expected batting average (xBA), .554 slugging, .581 expected slugging (xSLG) and .257 ISO in 483 plate appearances this season. Conversely, Merrill Kelly has coughed up 40 singles, 16 doubles, two triples, 15 homers, a .279 batting average and .527 slugging to 297 left-handed batters this season.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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