Monday’s MLB DFS main slate features six games on DraftKings and FanDuel, starting at 1:05 p.m. ET. The Underdog player props are also from Labor Day’s afternoon slate.
- Fantasy Baseball Trade Analyzer
- Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Assistant
- Fantasy Baseball Lineup Assistant
- MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
Monday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (9/7)
Jesus Luzardo (SP – PHI) vs. Atlanta Braves
Jesus Luzardo has been in pristine form. According to FanGraphs, in his previous five starts spanning 33 innings, the lefty has logged the following numbers:
- 3 wins
- 4 quality starts
- 1.64 ERA
- 2.76 xERA
- 2.74 xFIP
- 2.64 SIERA
- 0.94 WHIP
- 6.1% walk rate
- 34.4% strikeout rate
- 13.2% SwStr%
- 33.3% CSW%
- 107 stuff+
- 102 location+
- 106 pitching+
Luzardo has a plus matchup and betting info tonight. The Braves are tied for 18th in wRC+ (94) with a 20.9% strikeout rate versus lefties and 25th in wRC+ (90) with a 22.4% strikeout rate on the road in 2026.
Atlanta is also 27th in wRC+ (83) with a 24.5% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days and 11th in wRC+ (107) with a 23.8% strikeout rate in the last 14 days. The Phillies are -170 favorites, and the game’s total is eight runs.
Trevor Rogers (SP – BAL) vs. Cleveland Guardians
Trevor Rogers is sporting a 4.71 ERA in his last five starts spanning 28.2 innings, but his 3.77 xERA, 3.19 xFIP and 3.04 SIERA are much better. Rogers also recorded the following numbers in those five starts;
- 1.22 WHIP
- 2 wins
- 3 quality starts
- 4.2% walk rate
- 28.6% strikeout rate
- 10% SwStr%
- 27.4% CSW%
- 102 stuff+
- 111 location+
- 109 pitching+
Rogers can pitch closer to his recent ERA estimators in a favorable matchup. The Guardians are tied for 23rd in wRC+ (90) with a 22% strikeout rate versus lefties and tied for 26th in wRC+ (89) with a 21.5% strikeout rate on the road this year.
Cleveland is also 17th in wRC+ (98) with a 17.2% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days and 17th in wRC+ (96) with an 18.5% strikeout rate in the last 14 days. The betting info isn’t great, but it’s adequate. The Orioles are -125 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.
Grayson Rodriguez (SP – LAA) at Boston Red Sox
Grayson Rodriguez‘s full-season marks are putrid, but he’s been on a roll heading into tonight. In his last five starts, totaling 26.2 innings, the righty has recorded the following marks:
- 1 win
- 1 quality start
- 3.71 ERA
- 2.78 xERA
- 3.50 xFIP
- 3.71 SIERA
- 1.39 WHIP
- 9.6% walk rate
- 26.3% strikeout rate
- 11.2% SwStr%
- 27.5% CSW%
- 103 stuff+
- 98 location+
- 98 pitching+
Rodriguez’s matchup is mixed. The Red Sox are tied for 20th in wRC+ (98) with a 21.4% strikeout rate versus righties and tied for 16th in wRC+ (103) with a 20% strikeout rate at home this season.
Unfortunately for Rodriguez, Boston is tied for fourth in wRC+ (110) with a 19.3% strikeout rate over the previous 30 days, but is tied for 15th in wRC+ (97) with a 20.4% strikeout rate over the last 14 days.
Rodriguez’s betting info isn’t ideal, as the Angels are +145 underdogs, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs. Still, Rodriguez is an appealing SP2 on DraftKings in all game types.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
- Home (Citizens Bank Park)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 8.0 Runs/PHI -170
Grant Holmes has a 2.66 ERA in 64.1 innings on the road this season, but it doesn’t align with his 4.38 xFIP. The righty’s 3.42 ERA in his last five starts has also outkicked his 4.87 xERA, 4.43 xFIP and 5.04 SIERA.
Holmes’s good luck could end against the Phillies, making them a nifty stack tonight.
- Home (loanDepot park)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 8.0 Runs/MIA -115
Jonah Tong will start today. He’s made three relief appearances for the Mets this season, walking seven batters and striking out seven in 10 innings.
The righty also has a 4.54 ERA, 5.36 xERA and 4.98 xFIP in 23 Triple-A starts this year. The Marlins should be licking their chops at the opportunity to face him, and they’re an affordable stack as well.
Core Studs
- Kyle Schwarber has hammered 42 homers with 85 runs, 86 RBI, three stolen bases, a .357 on-base percentage (OBP), .376 wOBA and 135 wRC+ in 614 plate appearances this season.
- Bryce Harper has drilled 36 dingers with a .413 OBP, .312 ISO, .432 wOBA and 173 wRC+ in 550 plate appearances at home against righties since 2024.
- Griffin Conine has ripped 15 round-trippers with 36 runs, 35 RBI, four stolen bases, a .363 OBP, .233 ISO, .373 wOBA and 136 wRC+ in 256 plate appearances in 2026.
Value Plays/Punts
- Andrew Vaughn has launched 10 long balls with a .379 OBP, .170 ISO, .373 wOBA and 142 wRC+ in 407 plate appearances against southpaws since 2024.
- Blaze Alexander has hit five home runs with a .351 OBP, .127 ISO, .332 wOBA and 113 wRC+ in 267 plate appearances against lefties since 2024.
- Luis Arraez has hit six home runs with 64 runs, 57 RBI, 10 stolen bases, a .349 OBP, .113 ISO, .337 wOBA and 114 wRC+ in 588 plate appearances this season.
Monday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Grayson Rodriguez (SP – LAA): 4.5 Strikeouts — Higher
Grayson Rodriguez has surpassed 4.5 strikeouts in six of his previous seven starts and three straight on the road.
Jesus Luzardo (SP – PHI): 6.5 Strikeouts — Higher
Jesus Luzardo struck out six batters in his most recent start, but he surpassed 6.5 strikeouts in his five prior starts. In addition, the lefty struck out over 6.5 batters in nine of his last 11 turns and in 12 out of the last 15.
Bryce Harper (1B, OF – PHI): 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs — Higher
Bryce Harper is having an excellent season at the dish, amassing 137 hits, including 27 homers, with 85 runs, 80 RBI, a .272 batting average, .390 OBP, .229 ISO, .385 wOBA and 141 wRC+ in 143 games and 611 plate appearances this year.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
