Kelly Kirby

Corbin Carroll experienced the common sophomore slump after a standout Rookie of the Year campaign, though his performance improved in the second half of the season. Despite this rebound, he fell short of expectations tied to his first-round ADP. Carroll managed to hit 22 home runs (11 in August alone), surpassed his rookie run total with 121 scored (compared to 116 in 2023), and ended just two RBI shy of his debut season's mark. However, his slash line took a notable hit, dropping to .231/.322/.428 from .285/.362/.506. His stolen bases also declined, with 35 steals in 2024 compared to 54 the previous year, even though he played in more games. Carroll's potential as a five-category contributor remains appealing, and his final stats will likely land between his rookie and sophomore campaigns. However, fantasy managers may feel more comfortable selecting him in the second round rather than the first.

Fernando Tatis Jr. dealt with injuries during the 2024 season but remained highly productive when on the field. Over 102 games, he delivered 21 home runs, 64 runs scored, 49 RBI, and 11 stolen bases. His Statcast metrics remain elite, ranking in the 99th percentile for hard-hit rate and in the 97th percentile for both average exit velocity and expected batting average. While his days of swiping 25+ bases may be behind him, Tatis continues to provide excellent power and strong ratios. If the Padres bolster their lineup through free agency, his counting stats could see a notable boost.

While it may seem unbelievable, Jose Ramirez remains underrated. The 32-year-old third baseman seems to fly under the radar every year, and every year, he simply does what he's been doing pretty much since he came into the league. In 2024, he tied his career high in home runs at 39, drove in 118, scored 114, and stole 41 bases. His OBP took a small dip (.335), but his average settled exactly on his career number of .279. Still, it is guaranteed that in at least one league you're in, everyone will look past him anyway. Imagine ignoring the guy who came within one homer of being the first third baseman in history to post a 40/40 season. Coming out of the first round of your draft with Jose Ramirez is one of the safest plays you can make in 2025 fantasy.

There are two primary ways to win the stolen base category in 2025 fantasy baseball. You can wait and hodge-podge together a few guys to get there. Or you can draft Elly De La Cruz. The 22-year-old shortstop arrived in speedster fashion in 2024, racking up 67 stolen bases in 160 games. He also hit 25 home runs and scored 105 runs. Sure, his K% is in the sixth percentile at 31.3, and he isn't going to do much for your batting average. However, he can single-handedly deliver an SB win in weekly H2H leagues. Interestingly, ELDC hit more home runs away from Great American Ball Park (13 to 12), so there is room for growth with his power numbers if he unlocks that cheat code of a home stadium. Elly is a first-round draft pick with significant upside in 2025.

Kyle Tucker's 2024 was a lost year due to a leg fracture that limited him to only 78 games. He still managed 23 home runs and 11 stolen bases in only 277 at-bats, and he ended the season with more walks (56) than strikeouts (54). An offseason trade landed Tucker in Chicago to play his contract year with the Cubs. Wrigley Field is middle-of-the-pack when it comes to ballpark factors for lefties with extreme pull tendencies, but Tucker is such a solid all-around hitter that the difference should be negligible compared to Minute Maid Park. Assuming his leg is completely healed, the 27-year-old will be out for a massive payday in 2025, and there is every reason to take him in the first round to anchor your outfield.

Gunnar Henderson made the most of his second full season in the majors. He hit 37 home runs, scored 118 runs, drove in 92, and stole 21 bases. Perhaps most impressively, his batting average jumped to .281 from .255 the year before. He sits in the 97th percentile of hard-hit rate (53.9%), and the rest of his batting profile suggests more of 2024 to come. He dropped his K% from 25.6 to 22.1 and raised his walk rate to 10.8 from 9.0, which is exactly the type of growth you hope to see in a player's second year. Still just 23 years old, Henderson is a first-round talent whose Steamer projections align with what we saw last season. Even though the shortstop position is deep, Gunnar is in that top-5 echelon and worth the high investment.

Mookie Betts got off to a torrid start in 2024 before a hand injury took out a chunk of his season and left him with only 116 games played. As hand injuries are wont to do, it sapped a bit of his power (19 HR), but he still reached 75 runs and RBIs while stealing 16 bases, his highest total since 2019. Betts's Statcast profile is one of a player who is simply really good at hitting baseballs. He is in the 90th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xBA, squared-up percentage, chase rate, whiff rate, strikeout percentage, and walk percentage. His 11% strikeout rate stands out in particular. Betts will have shortstop and outfield eligibility in all leagues and, depending on the format, may carry 2B as well. One of the most solid draft strategies in 2024 was "just draft all the Dodgers," and 2025 doesn't look much different. Betts is the table setter and a star in all fantasy formats.

Juan Soto's 2024 performance reinforced why he's a fantasy powerhouse and contributed to his record-setting deal with the New York Mets this offseason. At just 26 years old by the end of the season, Soto demonstrated exceptional durability by appearing in 157 games. He excelled in his trademark areas, boasting a .419 on-base percentage and a .288 batting average. Soto also delivered career highs with 41 home runs and 128 runs scored while contributing 109 RBIs and seven stolen bases. There are some unknowns regarding his supporting case in New York. While Francisco Lindor is an elite option ahead of him in the order, the rest of their lineup remains an enigma depending on what else they do in free agency. Either way, Soto gives you plenty of opportunity to rack up counting stats. Just beware of a small letdown following the massive contract.