Mauricio Gutierrez

Desde la Semana 10, es el WR17 en targets en la NFL. Ha generado al menos 11 PF en tres de sus últimos cuatro juegos

31% tgt share desde Semana 11

25% tgt share en las últimas 3 semanas

77.3% toques en S13.

En los tres triunfos de CLE, Judkins ha sido RB Top 12

Menos del 60% de pases completos en 4 juegos consecutivos. No TD en 3 consecutivos. Volatilidad absoluta

DEF CHI 27 en yds/att, 25 yds/pase completo, 29 TD rate

B UF no ha permitido 20 PF de QB desde Semana 1

Game: Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (-4.5)
Pick: New England Patriots (-4.5)
It's nearly impossible to pick against Brady and Belichick in the Super Bowl. The Eagles have a more talented roster overall so they can keep it close. I think the Patriots win it 28-21 coming from behind in the 4th quarter. In close Super Bowls there is none better than Tom Brady and Bill Belichick.

Game: Will the combined score be over or under 48 points?
Pick: Over

Game: What will the total combined points be at the end of the game?
Pick: 49

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-9)
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (+9)
The jaguars will not be intimidated by playing against the Patriots. This is a team that have what it takes to keep the game close: great pass rush and good running game. Their defense can be vulnerable and they will need a superb effort to shutdown Brady the entire game.

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Minnesota Vikings (-3)
Two quality defenses against each other. The Vikings have a better QB in Case Keenum than the Eagles in Nick Foles. The key will be who can best protect the football and that's Keenum. Foles will have to do much more against Minnesota defense than what he did vs Falcons. The Vikings will become the first team to play a Super Bowl on their home field.

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Atlanta Falcons (-3)
The top seed team is the underdog, totally understand it. Nick Foles struggled in the last two games of the season and he looked not playoff ready. The Falcons showed a great defensive performance against one of the best offenses this year. Matt Ryan is far for impressive this year, but Atlanta can win with the run game.

Game: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-13.5)
Pick: Tennessee Titans (+13.5)
The game will be much more close than many believe. Derrick Henry was the key for the Titans in the Wild Card Round they would try to manage the clock and keep Brady off the field. But the Patriots are a more talented team, with a huge coaching advantage and Tom Brady on their side. They will win, but is going to be close.

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
This game will be very different to the one when they faced each other in Week 5. The Steelers are now a much better team. We all witnessed Blake Bortles's performance against the Bills last week, that's not how you win a game in postseason, on the road, facing the Steelers.


Game: New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)
Pick: New Orleans Saints (+4.5)
If you want excitement this weekend, watch this game. Two very good, balanced teams. The Vikings might have the home field advantage but the Saints have far more experience. Case Keenum is going to play in his first playoff game. Although Minnesota's defense is one of the best, I don't think they can stop Kamara and Ingram.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)

Game: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
Pick: Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
The Chiefs only lost two home games this season, they are going to exploit their home field advantage at Arrowhead Stadium. Their offense has awaken and looks in good shape. The Titans are the weakest of all the Wild Card teams this year with an ineffective offense. Marcus Mariota has thrown more INTs than TDs this season.

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams (-5)
Pick: Atlanta Falcons (+5)
The Falcons are the road team that has the best chance to win in the Wild Card Round. They have a better QB and WRs than the Rams. Their defense improved in the second half of the season. We shall not underestimate the playoff experience. It's going to be a close one.

Game: Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)
The Jaguars have the best defense in the NFL. Calais Campbell should be considered for DPOY award. It is hard to trust in Blake Bortles to win a playoff game, but the Bills have allowed 838 passing yards and 4 TDs in the last 4 games. LeSean McCoy would probably be banged up, and that is terrible news for their hopes.

Game: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-6)
Pick: New Orleans Saints (-6)
This should be the most exciting Wild Card game. The Saints are 2-0 this year against the Panthers. The Saints defense is definitely a better one this season and they are capable of stopping Cam Newton. The key is going to be the dynamic duo Kamara/Ingram and I don't think Carolina has what it takes to stop them.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-8)

Please rank the top readily available waiver wire options (ROS) and publish your rankings.
Already published my rankings.

Give us your thoughts on a waiver wire target (or two) you especially like as a pickup.
Keelan Cole. He has three consecutive games with at least 10 fantasy points and finishing with in the top 24. This was the first week in the season that he had more than 8 targets. It seems that he has earned total trust from Blake Bortles. Next week the Jaguars will face the Titans, a team that has allowed an average of 24.5 fantasy points in the last two games.
Jimmy Garoppolo. Had his best game as a 49er facing one of the best defensive units this season. If he was able to throw for 242 yardas and 3 TDs against the Jags, maybe we should consider Jimmy G as matchup proof, at least for the last week. The best QB available no doubt, actually I was surprised to see he is with such high availability (only 32.8% owned).

For owners renting a D/ST in Week 17, what readily available option (under 40%) should they target and why?
Surprisingly, the Washington Redskins DST has been a Top 10 DST in each of the last two weeks, facing the Chargers in Week 15 and the Cardinals in Week 16. The Redskins could be a defense that allows too many points but in those two last weeks they have hada good number of turnovers (3) and sacks (6). This week they are going to face a very weak opponent. In the last 5 weeks, the Giants has allowed an average of 13.6 fantasy points per game to opposing DSTs.

Give us a player (non tight end) outside of our top 100 Flex that represents a deep sleeper start and tell us why you think he has upside this week.
Mike Gillislee could emerge as a sneaky fantasy option this week. Remember that couple of weeks at the beginning of the season in which Gillislee seemed to consolidate as one of the biggest steals in fantasy drafts? He could inherit/regain the red zone carries because of Rex Burkhead 's injury. That means probable TDs in a offense with 13 rushing TDs, tied for the seventh most in the NFL. Risky? Without a doubt, but in championship week everything is valid especially if you are a big underdog.

On the flip side, what player inside the top 40 Flex is likely to disappoint fantasy owners this week?
Lamar Miller. In the last three weeks Miller's effectiveness has disappeared; in that span he is the second worst RB in fantasy points per touch (0.38) among runners with at least 40 carries. For the first time in the season he received less than 10 carries, due to the Texans playing from behind all game. This week they will face the Steelers and the outlook seems will be very similar.

Please rank the top readily available waiver wire options (ROS) and publish your rankings.
Done.

Give us your thoughts on a waiver wire target (or two) you especially like as a pickup.
Dede Westbrook shares finally paid off. He has the potential to become that one player that boost your team to the championship week. Since active in Week 11, he leads the Jaguars receivers in targets (33), receptions (20) and yards (235). Scored his first NFL TD last week against a diminished Seattle defense. Look to him to excel in Week 15 against the Texans, the eighth team that allows more points to WRs.

For owners renting a D/ST in Week 15, what readily available option (under 40%) should they target and why?
New Orleans Saints D/ST. The haven't scored more than 10 fantasy points in five straight weeks, but beside that they manage to finish among the best twelve D/ST in Week 14 in a difficult game at Atlanta. This week they would receive a McCown-less Jets. The Saints, especially a healthy Marshon Lattimore, can cause Bryce Petty to make many mistakes.

Give us a player (non tight end) outside of our top 100 Flex that represents a deep sleeper start and tell us why you think he has upside this week.
D.J. Foster. The Cardinals are going to be without RB Adrian Peterson for second straight game. Kerwynn Williams will be the featured back, just as he did on Week 13. But DJ Foster have a great upside because of his usage in the passing game. In the last two weeks, averages 4.5 targets per game. The Titans is the team that has allowed most receiving yards to RBs (675) and the second team that allows more receptions to RBs (76).

On the flip side, what player inside the top 40 Flex is likely to disappoint fantasy owners this week?
Christian McCaffrey. Has failed to be a top 15 RB (Standard and PPR) in the last two weeks. The TDs and the involvement in the passing game are saving his value as a RB2. The Panthers will play against the Vikings that have allowed only 4 TDs to RBs (3 rushing and 1 receiving) and the fewest fantasy points to RBs this year (12.3) . Be careful, McCaffrey could disappoint and finish outside the top 24.