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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Starling Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Starling Marte
CF - ARI
Starling Marte
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
33 of 45 experts
27%
Recommended by
12 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 19
Best Rank# 6# 12
Worst Rank# 31# 54
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 28
Best Rank# 14# 27
Worst Rank# 32# 38
   
Projections 
   
Runs3434
Home Runs118
RBI2829
Stolen Bases810
Batting Average.284.288
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 19
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 21
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 21# 25
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 23
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 21
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 19
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 22
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 22
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 19
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 27
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 19
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 50
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 54
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 21
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 18
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 23
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 28
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 21
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 26
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 24
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 13# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 22
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 26
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 20# 28
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 11# 12
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 15
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 19
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 17
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 17
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 18
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 21
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 20
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 27# 16
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Starling Marte
CF - ARI
Starling Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334539
   
Runs6197
   
Hits106159
   
Singles6599
   
Doubles1331
   
Triples66
   
Home Runs2223
   
RBI5382
   
Stolen Bases1625
   
Caught Stealing66
   
Walks3025
   
Strikeouts11094
   
Batting Average.317.295
   
On Base Pct.379.343
   
Slugging Pct.590.503
   
On-base Plus Slugging.969.845
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Starling Marte
CF - ARI
Starling Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats204205
   
Runs3434
   
Hits5859
   
Singles3538
   
Doubles911
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs118
   
RBI2829
   
Stolen Bases810
   
Caught Stealing33
   
Walks1811
   
Strikeouts6241
   
Batting Average.284.288
   
On Base Pct.344.325
   
Slugging Pct.513.485
   
On-base Plus Slugging.857.809
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Starling Marte
CF - ARI
Starling Marte
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
Pirates outfielder Starling Marte has been traded to the Arizona Diamondbacks, according to multiple reports.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Jan 27th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
 
 Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
 
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Rinse. Wash. Repeat. Every draft season, we as a collective fantasy community get excited about drafting Starling Marte on our teams. When the season is over, we end up feeling pretty meh about it. Rinse. Wash. Repeat. He's in a new ballpark with a better team, sure, but let's not forget that he's 31 years old, and with speed as his main value driver, we can expect that to start to decline rapidly, potentially this season. What's more, Marte has only had two seasons with more than 600 plate appearances in his career despite being a regular presence toward the top of the Pittsburgh lineup.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Marte set career-highs in home runs, runs scored, RBI, and slugging percentage in 2019, and now gets an upgrade in supporting cast and home park with the move to the Diamondbacks. The Pirates ranked 20th in 2019 in runs scored, while the Diamondbacks ranked 11th, and PNC Park was one of the worst parks for righty batters last season. Marte may not be able to grow his 2019 numbers at this point given his age, but his change in teams certainly doesn't hurt.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
By now, you should know that although Marte isn't one of the game's most well known stars, he is a solid bet to return 25 homers, 100 runs scored and 30 steals with a strong batting average if he can stay healthy fo the full season. He doesn't have much upside for the third round ADP, though.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
  I am a huge 5-tool chasing type of guy and with a move to Arizona, I want shares of Marte to see if he can be a 30/30/.285 "Dude" in 2020. 20/20 feels like a lock, 25/25 is a reasonable hope while 30/30 is a reach worth dreaming on.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Set a career high in homers last season in what was likely the best overall season of his career. The HRs may get knocked down under 20 again if the ball changes, but should be a solid contributor everywhere. Not a big fan of reaching for him at all, because his ceiling is not like others in the early rounds. Safe pick.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy