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Who Should I Draft?

Paul Goldschmidt or Pete Alonso (2023)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
Paul Goldschmidt
1B,DH - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
34 of 49 experts
31%
Recommended by
15 of 49 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 20
Best Rank# 12# 10
Worst Rank# 55# 34
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 21
Best Rank# 15# 20
Worst Rank# 20# 24
   
Projections 
   
Runs8893
Home Runs3729
RBI11095
Stolen Bases48
Batting Average.265.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 30
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 18
   
Greg Smith
Superflex.Guide
# 19# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 19
   
Jeff Zimmerman
FanGraphs
# 17# 19
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 29
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 18
   
Christopher Welsh
FantasyPros
# 20# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 18
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 16# 22
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 18# 19
   
Pierre Camus
Fantasy Endgame
# 14# 18
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 18# 20
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 12# 21
   
Matthew Williams
The Athletic
# 18# 19
   
Keith Lott
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 17
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 17# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 21
   
Jacob W. Dunne
Triple Play Fantasy
# 18# 20
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 22
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 14# 21
   
Scott Youngson
Pitcher List
# 13# 15
   
Scott Bogman
FantasyPros
# 18# 19
   
Jason Kamlowsky
FantasyPros
# 15# 16
   
Jesse Garcia
FantasyPros
# 18# 21
   
Fred Zinkie
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 14
   
Kelly Kirby
FantasyPros
# 18# 20
   
Taylor Tarter
Fastball Fantasy Baseball
# 18# 34
   
Tristan Davis
SEMO Fantasy Sports Podcast
# 26
   
Joe Orrico
SportsEthos
# 18# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 10
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 14
   
Blake Meyer
Sports Gambling Podcast Network
# 21# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 14
   
Julian Tarevski
FantasyPros
# 18# 15
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 22# 15
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 20# 16
   
Pat Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros
# 23# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 18# 17
   
Travis Argo
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 17
   
Ethan Biddle
FantasyPros
# 20# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 18
   
Jody Smith
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 18
   
Brad Camara
RotoBaller
# 20# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 55# 20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
Paul Goldschmidt
1B,DH - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
2022 Stats 
   
   
At Bats597561
   
Runs95106
   
Hits162178
   
Singles95102
   
Doubles2741
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs4035
   
RBI131115
   
Stolen Bases57
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks6779
   
Strikeouts128141
   
Batting Average.271.317
   
On Base Pct.352.404
   
Slugging Pct.518.578
   
On-base Plus Slugging.869.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
Paul Goldschmidt
1B,DH - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
2023 Projections 
   
   
At Bats561554
   
Runs8893
   
Hits149158
   
Singles8495
   
Doubles2632
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs3729
   
RBI11095
   
Stolen Bases48
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks6473
   
Strikeouts128137
   
Batting Average.265.284
   
On Base Pct.340.368
   
Slugging Pct.510.493
   
On-base Plus Slugging.850.860
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
Paul Goldschmidt
1B,DH - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
News 
 Pete Alonso went two-for-three with a home run and three RBI in the Mets' 11-2 Spring Training rout of the Rays on Friday.
Scott Youngson
Fri, Mar 24th
 
Notes 
 The Polar Bear was dethroned at the 2022 HR Derby but otherwise had a phenomenal campaign, hitting 40 HR with 131 RBI, 95 runs, and lowering his K% to a career-low 18.7. He had an impressive xwOBA of .354, an ISO of .246, and WRC+ of 143 while batting cleanup in New York. Projections for the 28-year-old look similar to this stat line, though he will have a boosted lineup ahead of him to knock in with the re-signing of Brandon Nimmo, return of Francisco Lindor, and anyone else Steve Cohen decides to add to his luxury tax mountain. The beauty of Alonso is that he has all of the power without cratering your batting average (.271 last season). He remains worthy of a second-round pick in 2023.
Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros
Paul Goldschmidt won the NL MVP in 2022, putting together a strong campaign that saw him hit 35 HR with 115 RBI and 105 runs while slashing .317/.404/.578 in his age-34 season. Strangely, all of his underlying metrics were actually worse in 2022 than in 2021 with the exception of his BB% bouncing from 9.9 to 12.1. One striking reason for this was a .368 BABIP, while another was facing a lot of atrocious pitching in the NL Central. His Statcast page reads like a warning when comparing his expected numbers with his actual ones. All of this adds up to that Goldy is due for some regression in 2023, which could be dramatic. The positives are his solid floor, and a good surrounding lineup will keep the numbers afloat. Just make sure you're not paying for his MVP iteration on draft day.
Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros