Last season, Palmer finished fifth in fantasy scoring with over 4,700 yards and 35 touchdowns. Was it a fluke? 77% of our experts say his ADP is far too low, and when they speak, you ought to listen. With Floyd and Brown wide and Fitzgerald in the slot, 4,700 isn't just repeatable, it is susceptible to being passed up and left in the dust.
I loved Palmer as a late round target last year, but this year I'm seeing him go a little bit before I would be willing to take him. I love his targets and the talent the Cardinals have, but David Johnson and Chris Johnson are going to get theirs.
Palmer had 4,671 yards passing, 35 touchdowns and just 11 interceptions in 2015. He does turn 37-years old, but I am not worried about a steep decline this year. He could still be in the QB1 discussion, but I think his production declines a little with the emergence of RB David Johnson. Look for good touchdown numbers, but passing numbers closer to 4,000 yards passing, which would make him a QB2.
Palmer was a steady fantasy producer all last season, but never had the huge games that the top fantasy producers had. That was mostly due to Bruce Arians wanting a balanced attack and the Cardinals getting big leads and then slowing down the game with the run. For where you drafted Palmer, you are more than ecstatic for the season he had, but you needed a well-balanced team to win with him.
This season should be set up well for Palmer, with Michael Floyd coming on as Arizona's No. 1 receiver, the extremely talented pass-catching running back, David Johnson, looking like the starter, John Brown and J.J. Nelson taking the top off the defense, and Larry Fitzgerald moving the chains from the slot. There's no reason to think Palmer can't repeat last year unless you just don't draft football players who have been injured in the past.