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Antonio Gibson Week 10 Outlook - Commanders at Lions

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Mon, Nov 9th 2020, 8:31pm EST

The Lions have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per offensive snap to opponents this year, behind only the Falcons, Texans, and Jaguars. Through nine weeks, there's been no team in the league who's allowed more fantasy points per game to the running back position. In fact, the 35.0 PPR points per game they've allowed to them is 3.7 percent more than the closest team (Packers). There are just two teams who've allowed more than 11 total touchdowns to running backs this year, and the Lions are one of them. They've allowed 15 total touchdowns (10 rushing, 5 receiving) to them. Even if you remove the production they've allowed through the air, the Lions have allowed 21.0 fantasy points per game on the ground to running backs, which is more than 10 teams have allowed to the position as a whole. They've allowed a touchdown every 16.7 touches to the running back position. If Washington can keep this game close (or have the lead), Gibson should smash. Even if you start looking at what the Lions have allowed through the air, it doesn't look bad for McKissic, as they've allowed a league-high 8.26 yards and 2.17 PPR points per target to running backs. The 186.5 total yards per game they've allowed is the most in the NFL, and running backs have managed to average 31.3 touches per game against the Lions, so there should be enough to go around between these two running backs, though gamescript will determine just how good either will be. Gibson should be played as a strong RB2 this week who could explode if they hold a lead/keep the game close.

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