Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton's 2025 finish once again outpaced his underlying usage, as strong touchdown production helped propel him into the top-12 overall WRs despite modest efficiency (20th in PPG). Before the Week 12 bye week, Sutton was outside the top-30 WRs in PPG. Denver's passing attack now looks significantly EVEN more crowded after the addition of Jaylen Waddle, and the Broncos enter 2026 with virtually no vacated volume available. Sutton still profiles as an important red-zone target for Bo Nix, but his declining efficiency metrics and growing competition raise concerns about his fantasy ceiling. At age 31, Sutton feels more like a volume-dependent WR3 than a true alpha receiver moving forward.

Over the last two seasons, Courtland Sutton has been the unquestioned WR1 for Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos. In those seasons, he finished as the WR18 and WR24 in fantasy points per game. The arrival of Jaylen Waddle will change that this year. Sutton still can be a highly productive player in a pass-happy offense, but he'll take a backseat to Waddle. Last year, Denver was fourth in pass rate over expectation and passing attempts (per Fantasy Points Data). His per-route data remained solid, but it wasn't spectacular outside of his separation score and route win rate (20th, ninth). Last year, among 109 qualifying receivers, Sutton was 35th in target per route run rate, 32nd in yards per route run, and 29th in first downs per route run. I expect the passing attack to condense around Waddle and Sutton with all of the other receiving options falling in behind them as matchup/coverage specific chess pieces. Sutton is a WR2/3 for 2026.