Andrew Luck

Andrew Luck

Height: 6' 4"Weight: 240 lbsAge: 29College: StanfordDrafted: #1 (1st Rd. by Indianapolis)

Week 7 Outlook

Sun 1:00pm ET
Matchup (?)
Week Rank (ECR) QB #10
Projection 17.3 pts



The Bills are 5th against fantasy quarterbacks, Luck is a low-upside QB2 at home this week.

With T.Y. Hilton, Luck has still been posting big numbers because the Colts are on pace to pass the ball for an NFL Record 750+ times. He will be a useful start almost every week going forward, but this Sunday versus the Bills may be the exception as they've got one of the best defenses in football this year.

Luck is on a roll right now, at least from a fantasy perspective, tossing at least 300 yards and three touchdowns in three consecutive games. The Bills are not a good matchup, but Luck is at home and playing too well to sit unless you have another really elite option.

Is it possible that we finally see a game where Luck throws the ball less than 40 times? Yes, it's already happened once this season, but it's a rare occasion. Luck is actually on pace to break the all-time record for pass attempts, as his current pace is 768 pass attempts. He's obviously missing a lot of his weapons, though there's a possibility that he starts getting some back soon. Against the Bills though, it's tough to love him as a QB1 this week. Outside of the one game where Kirk Cousins threw 55 attempts against them (needed to as they fell behind big), no other quarterback has totaled more than 40 pass attempts against the Bills. Looking at their last four games, they've been a somewhat elite defense, allowing just 60 combined points to the Vikings, Packers, Titans, and Texans offenses. They've not allowed Cousins, Rodgers, Mariota, or Watson to finish with more than 17.0 fantasy points, and they've all finished outside the top-18 quarterbacks for the week. They've allowed just 6.2 yards per attempt to quarterbacks thus far, which ranks as the third-lowest mark in the NFL. Luck is just a middling QB2 this week whose volume likely won't carry him through.