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Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson

RB - WAS

Height: 6' 2"Weight: 221 lbsAge: 23College: Memphis

2021 Outlook

Strength of Schedule
RB Rank: 19th
Draft Rank (ECR) #16
Best / Worst #6 / #76
ADP #20

Roster %

 
Yahoo
99%
 
ESPN
99%
 
FanDuel
 
DraftKings

Well this call could make me look really smart or really foolish. Just an fyi- the smart money is on foolish haha! Antonio Gibson is still recovering from a turf toe injury he suffered in late 2020. That's a concern. If he's okay, then things could get real interesting. Coach Ron Rivera said he wants him to be more involved in the passing game (Note- he played WR in college). He came into the NFL really raw as a RB which means he could make a huge leap. Gibson is one of the few RBs with major three down upside if things break right, well assuming it's not his toe. He's big (220 lbs), fast (ran a 4.39 40 yard dash), and a natural playmaker. Can his toe hold up? That's the million dollar question? If it does, lookout! Gibbaay!!!

Assuming he can put the nagging turf toe behind him, and Ryan Fitzpatrick can be coaxed into throwing to RBs, HC Rivera should continue trying to develop his next CMC

After being barely utilized as a runner in college, Gibson came out on fire in his rookie season. He averaged 4.7 YPC and 11 rushing touchdowns, which is absurd for a player who saw only 33 total carries in college. Heading into 2021, the sky's the limit for Gibson and what he can do with this experience to his name. He should receive a larger workload this upcoming season and this offense is going to be more potent due to the QB upgrade. You're going to have to pay up for Gibson and it's hard to take him over some more proven names, but this is a swing for the fences selection that has a very good chance of making it out of the park.

Last season we thought Antonio Gibson would be a receiving threat out of the backfield and likely limited rushing, given his collegiate experience.
Gibson's most likely utilization comps for 2021 are Jonathan Taylor and Derrick Henry with 60-70% attempts and 5-8% of targets. *If* he does take over McKissic's passing-down work - we are talking certified beast usage.

McKissic seems very likely to continue his same role, but I would put Gibson's odds as more likely to keep McKissick off the field than JT is to displace Hines or Henry to spike in targets.
Gibson just barely trailed McKissic in YPRR and PFF receiving grade last year.
Gibson was not good in limited pass pro chances, that's where he needs to show improvement.

I like Gibson, it's not that I don't. The issue is that he's not heavily involved in the passing game, and he topped 94 yards on the ground just twice all of last season, with both of those games coming against the Cowboys. In fact, 28.7 percent of his fantasy points in 2020 were against the Cowboys. I can certainly see Gibson finishing higher than my ranking, but those above him have either (a) a more consistent track record, or (b) less question marks. He scored a touchdown once every 15.5 carries last year, a number that's surely to go up.

Gibson averaged 13.2 fantasy points per game in his rookie year and he should have a lot of upside in his second year if Washington ups his usage in his second year.

More positive game-scripts & TD opportunities, plus Scott Turner could just decide to give Gibson the full CMac bellcow treatment he so deserves. -- BUT this latest toe news is aggravating.

22yo - Flashed Jamaal Charles upside. 170 carries 4.7ypc with 36 receptions and 11 Touchdowns. BUY BUY BUY.

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