RB - KC
Week 3 Outlook
Clyde Edwards-Helaire finds himself in a tough spot this weekend. The Ravens field the second-most efficient defense against the run, and they're one of three teams to have not yielded a touchdown to running backs yet (the other two are the Chargers and the Football Team). Edwards-Helaire is still a high-end RB2 for me this week because of his workload, but don't expect too much out of him.
Edwards-Helaire didn't exactly see 25 carries again in week two, but we saw his usage through the receiving game bounce back to what we expected heading into the season. There are going to be scoring opportunities galore in this matchup, which means that CEH is a must-start option this week. While the Ravens defense is a tough matchup, CEH will see enough work to be viewed as a low-end RB1.
He leads the league with carries inside the 20-, 10-, and 5-yard line. He's totaled exactly 100 percent of the running back carries inside the red zone. The only other running backs who can say that are Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley, James Robinson, and Kenyan Drake. Production will follow. We also saw him used in the passing game last year, though the matchup with the Chargers was a tough one. If there's one potential leak on the Ravens defense, it's got to be the run defense that's allowed 4.89 yards per carry through the first two weeks, though no teams have been able to commit to the run, as they've fallen behind rather quickly. That's why running backs have totaled just 42 total touches against them, which has hidden the efficiency running backs have had. There were six running backs who totaled at least 87 yards on the ground against the Ravens last year, and though none of them were on the Chiefs, there is a positive from their game against each other last year. The combination of LeSean McCoy and Darrel Williams totaled 116 yards on 17 carries and added eight receptions for 73 yards and a touchdown through the air. With Edwards-Helaire getting 73.8 percent of the running back opportunities in the Chiefs backfield, he's a low-end RB1, even in a tough matchup.
The Ravens are 2nd against fantasy running backs, but some of that can be attributed to outscoring their opponents 71-22 on the season. It is still a tough matchup, but CEH should be a low-end RB1 playing on one of the elite offenses in the NFL.