Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid was wildly efficient in 2025, averaging 14.6 yards per catch, 11.7 yards per target, and 2.70 yards per route run. The problem was that he played only 12 games and 302 snaps. Kincaid had 39 catches for 571 yards and five touchdowns. He was third in TE snaps on his own team last season behind Dawson Knox and rookie Jackson Hawes. The 26-year-old Kincaid lost games to hamstring and abdominal injuries last year. He's also been dealing with a partially torn PCL in his left knee since late 2024. The injury won't require surgery, but Bills GM Brandon Beane has said that Kincaid's 2026 workload might have to be managed. It would be hard for Kincaid to improve upon his efficiency numbers, so he would probably need bigger snap counts to have a more impactful fantasy season in 2026. The outlook for that is murky, and if he plays limited snaps again this season and his efficiency numbers regress to career norms, Kincaid could disappoint. It's best to regard him as a high-end TE2 for fantasy drafts.

If Dalton Kincaid could get a near full-time route share, he would be a league winner and season-defining player at the tight end position, with consideration to where he's being drafted. Last year, Kincaid was a monster on a per-route basis, leading to a TE13 finish in fantasy points per game. Last year, among 54 qualifying tight ends, Kincaid ranked FIRST in target per route run rate, yards per route run, separation score, route win rate, first downs per route run, and fantasy points per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). The problem is that, among the same sample of 54 tight ends, he was 39th in route share (44.2%) behind Michael Mayer. If Kincaid could see his route share climb near 70% (or above), he could be the TE1 overall in 2026, but the problem is that it is a BIG if. The good thing is that risk is priced into his ADP, but his soul-crushing upside isn't. Kincaid is a perfect tight end to pair with Dallas Goedert, Travis Kelce, or Jake Ferguson. It's a perfect two-tight-end build with floor and potential ceiling.

Dalton Kincaid's third season was plagued by more injuries, as he was reportedly playing through another torn PCL (second year in a row). But the Bills TE remained super-efficient despite lackluster usage/playing time (46% route participation and just three games with a greater than 50% snap share). He caught 80% of his passes for 682 yards and a career-high 7 TDs as the TE8 in fantasy PPG (9.6). His 2.7 YPRR led all TEs and ranked third among all receivers. His 27% target rate per route run also ranked first among TEs. If Kincaid can get healthy in 2026, he could leap into elite fantasy TE territory at a fraction of the cost.