Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid has been dealing with a knee issue and a hamstring injury. He has practiced on a limited basis all week and has been listed as questionable. Kincaid is the TE8 in fantasy points per game with a 14.8% target share, five red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 17.4% first-read share. Kincaid has been mashing on a per-route basis with 3.37 yards per route run, but the issue is that he has only a 47% route share. I'd love to tell you that I LOVE HIM this week versus the Bengals, who have bled out production to tight ends all year and are easily the best matchup in the NFL for the position, but I have my worries. Kincaid has been a limited snap player all season, and in Weeks 8-9, he had only 32% and 46.7% route shares. In those two games, he had only three and six targets. It's tough to expect him to be ridiculously efficient and produce on limited volume when he is clearly not 100%. Could he pay off for fantasy this week? Sure. Are there a ton of concerns around his playing, efficiency, and the Bills' game plan this week? Oh, hell yes. If Buffalo wants to just lean on their run game, they can against Cincy. That would crush the Bills' passing volume and Kincaid's involvement. Playing him is a risk this week. Cincy has allowed the most receiving yards per game, the highest yards per reception, and the most fantasy points per game to tight ends.

After missing the last three games, Kincaid is expected to return this week. Although there has yet to be an official report, his two limited practices last week suggest he is working his way to a return for a great matchup with the Bengals. The Bengals have been by far the worst defense against the TE position. Not only are they allowing over 20 yards more per game than the next-worst defense, but they are also allowing 1.1 touchdowns. The next highest has 0.6 touchdowns per game. Yikes. Kincaid has been a little inconsistent when he has played this year, but he also has three of his eight games finishing as a top-three TE on the week. This is one of those matchups where you want every piece of Josh Allen against a historically bad defense. It's hard to trust players coming back from injury, but unless you have one of the top options, you won't want to miss out on Kincaid's potential this week.