Davante Adams

Davante Adams was a fantasy monster before succumbing to a hamstring injury in Week 15 that forced him to miss the rest of the regular season. In Weeks 1-14, Adams (among 86 qualifying receivers per Fantasy Points Data) was 16th in target share (23.8%), 26th in receiving yards per game (55.2), 18th in yards per route run (2.02), 23rd in first-read share (27%), and fifth in first downs per route run (0.132). He was scoring touchdowns at an insane clip with 14 in those 13 games while leading all receivers with 30 red zone targets (the closest receiver to him during that span had 19). During those 13 games, Adams was the WR8 in fantasy points per game. I don't expect him to repeat that insane fantasy production in 2026 as his touchdown scoring is likely to see some small bit of regression. Adams didn't show any falloff in his separation skills, ranking first in separation score and route win rate among 109 qualifying receivers last year. Adams should be considered a solid WR2 with some upside if the Rams offense can continue to cook in 2026 as it did in 2025.

The early ECR is pricing Davante Adams as a mid-WR2. Last year was actually a red flag season disguised as an elite one; he posted a career-low catch rate of 53%, his YAC per reception hit a career low, and the bulk of his production was TD-dependent with 15 scores. That kind of touchdown volume is notoriously hard to replicate year over year. Even though Matthew Stafford is back under center in LA, he may not force-feed Adams in the end zone as he did in 2025 en route to an MVP award (7.7% TD rate). On top of that, Adams turns 33 and dealt with a lower-body tissue injury in 2025 that cost him time; at his age, that's not something you just brush off. When you look at the totality: the age, the injury, the TD regression risk, the declining efficiency numbers: easy to see a player far more likely to fall off than to replicate 2025