DeVonta Smith
WR - Philadelphia Eagles
Availability
DeVonta Smith is the WR20 in fantasy points per game with a 25.4% target share, 66.8 receiving yards per game, 2.13 yards per route run, and a 31.9% first-read share. Smith is second on the team in red zone targets (seven) and leads Philly in deep targets (18). Since Week 6, the Bolts have had a second-highest two high rate (62.7%). Against two high, Smith has had a 25.7% target share with 2.15 yards per route run and a 32% first-read share. He leads the team in each of those categories. Smith should lead the way for Philly's passing attack this week. Since Week 9, the Bolts have allowed the 13th-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers while also giving up the 14th-highest passer rating to slot receivers. Since Week 9, they have faced the second-fewest slot targets in the NFL, so we're working with a small sample here and differing info. This should be viewed as a neutral matchup for Smith.
It may have taken longer than the fantasy community wanted for the Eagles to become a pass-first team, but we have finally seen the switch over the last two weeks. Although this is beneficial for the team as a whole, it has also revitalized AJ. Brown left Smith picking up the scraps. Thankfully, the scraps have still amounted to 12 and seven fantasy points over the last two weeks. Unfortunately, it makes Smith more of a boom-bust WR2 with a decent floor. With the Rams falling to the Panthers last week, the Eagles have a chance to secure home-field advantage for the playoffs. As a result, each game is that much more important to this team. This week, they face the Chargers, who have allowed the fewest fantasy points to the position. It's tough to see Smith having a big week, but it only takes one deep shot for him to come through. Expect another solid performance from the former Heisman winner.
DeVonta Smith entered the game with multiple injuries but still finished with 5-48 on eight targets. Barely got over his receptions prop with some catches late in the game after doing nothing most of the contest.
Through 11 games, the Eagles' WRs have nearly identical target shares. I still think Smith can finish the season on a high note. Great schedule for WRs rest of season - specifically to slot WRs. The four remaining defenses that Philly faces rank inside the top-12 in percentage of fantasy points allowed to WRs going to slot WRs (3 inside top-8).