TE - ATL
Week 13 Outlook
With Julio most likely out for this game, Hurst does receive a bit of a boost from a target share perspective. He has a tough matchup in front of him, but he should do enough to return low-end TE1 value.
Once one of the best matchups for opposing TEs, New Orleans is now rather stingy against the position. When Atlanta faced the squad two weeks ago, Hurst was blanked, but outside of that performance, he's drawn at least seven targets in four straight. I'm willing to go back to the well here and play Hurst as a top-10 option. This is a tough matchup, but it's unlikely he'll be held to a goose egg again.
We knew to bump Hurst down without Julio Jones in the lineup, which turned out to be right, though Hurst did turn in a competent performance for a tight end, as four catches and 48 yards will hardly bury your fantasy team. He's now totaled at least 48 yards and/or a touchdown in 8-of-11 games. Now onto a rematch with the Saints, a team that held him catchless in their Week 11 matchup, though his two targets didn't help. Tight ends have seen a league-high 23.7 percent of targets go to the their way against the Saints, though they haven't been the most efficient targets seeing that they've accounted for 19.4 percent of the fantasy production to skill-position players, which ranks as the 10th-most. The 5.86 yards per target they've allowed to the position ranks as the fourth-lowest in the league. If you were to remove the one massive game by Darren Waller against them (12/103/1 back in Week 2), they'd look like a much less appealing matchup. Outside of that game, they've allowed just 38.9 yards per game to the tight end position. Hurst has done enough to earn your consideration as a low-end TE1, but don't hesitate to sit him if you have a safer option.
Dallas Goedert TE-PHI
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|1.||Pierre Camus||TE #14|
|T-2.||Scott Engel||TE #16|
|T-2.||Elliot Berkovits||TE #8|
|T-2.||Christopher Dell||TE #7|
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