QB - CIN
Week 3 Outlook
Burrow put together a strong fantasy performance against the Browns last week, although a late garbage-time touchdown to Tyler Boyd was necessary for him to seal the deal. That said, if A.J. Green were catching passes, Burrow would have considerably more fantasy points. Green is going to get his act together soon, and I want to have Burrow in my lineup when he does. I see Burrow as a high-risk, low-end QB1 against the Eagles this week, and I have him ranked above both Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees, who could both be without their best receiving weapons.
Burrow had a ridiculous 61 pass attempts in Week 2, he is an upside QB2 against an Eagles D that has not had a lot of success early in the season.
While Burrow may be accurate and poised, he's still learning the speed of the NFL. The windows are closing much faster than they did at LSU, but he should continue to grow every week. He wasn't perfect against the Browns last week, but he showcased his upside while throwing for 316 yards and three touchdowns and rushing for another 19 yards. The downside is that it took him 61 pass attempts to get there while averaging just 5.2 yards per attempt. The Bengals offensive line is the biggest issue, as he's been pressured on 35 percent of his dropbacks to this point. The Eagles defense has seen just 58 pass attempts against them through two weeks, and if not for Tyler Higbee, they'd have looked pretty good. Both Washington and the Rams opted to go with a run-heavy approach against them, which is why the 45.3 percent passing play percentage against them is the second-lowest mark in the NFL to only... the Bengals. If the teams hold true to those percentages, this could be a slower paced game than we hope. Going on the road against a desperate Eagles team who are 6.5-point favorites is not the recipe for success, and they have some ball hawks in that secondary. With a team implied total of less than 20 points, Burrow is not a recommended streamer this week.