Julio Jones

Julio Jones

Height: 6' 3"Weight: 220 lbsAge: 29College: AlabamaDrafted: #6 (1st Rd. by Atlanta)

2018 Outlook

Strength of Schedule:
7th easiest for WRs
Draft Rank (ECR) #11
Best / Worst #5 / #19
ADP #14



Julio had 1,400 yards and plenty of red zone opportunity. If he wasn't on the (historically) negative side of TD variance, people would've thought very differently about his 2017 season. @Michael_Dubner He'll be 30 during the season this year, but he's the leading WR in yards per game by a solid amount. He's lacked TD upside his whole career, but is bound to rebound after only catching 1 TD in 18 redzone targets last year. I'll wait for a couple of boom weeks and sell high or ride him out as he collects 150 targets for the next 3-4 years. The Athletic's Jeff Schultz reports the Falcons have informed Julio Jones he will not receive a new contract this year. Jones skipped OTAs and minicamp to show displeasure with his contract, which makes him the league's eighth-highest-paid receiver. theathletic.com

What do you do with a talent like Jones, who can't seem to score touchdowns? You rank him high because he still put up great numbers without the touchdowns, plus he can sometimes, once in a blue moon, will get into the end zone. And, Jones' three touchdowns last season were an outlier even for him, so expect 6-8, which are around his average. If he would have gotten just six touchdowns this season, he would have finished as a top-four fantasy receiver.

Contract woes are troubling but Jones should be a top 5 beast per usual

Don't buy into the narrative that Jones is either inconsistent or injury prone. He has been just a step behind Antonio Brown in both of those over the past several seasons and is a near-lock to return top-ten value at the position for the fifth consecutive season.

If you're fortunate to land Jones late in the first, consider yourself one lucky person. While some have said he's inconsistent, the numbers tell a different story. He's finished with WR1 numbers in 40.4 percent of his career games, which ranks second to only Odell Beckham Jr. since 2001. If you think he's too "boom or bust," the only players who have posted a higher WR3 percentage than his (73.4 percent) are Beckham Jr., Antonio Brown, A.J. Green, and Michael Thomas. He's a stud who is due for some positive touchdown regression. He might be the only one who can compete with Brown for the top wide receiver spot.

Jones had only 3 touchdowns in 2017, but he did average 10.2 fantasy points per game. He is still a WR1, although I do not think he is worth a first round pick if he is not going to score double-digit touchdowns.