Herbert was extremely efficient during the 2024 season albeit before a 4-interceptions implosion in the wild-card round of the postseason.
He was the QB15 in points per game (16.7) and QB13 overall in his first season under offensive coordinator, Greg Roman. The offensive environment limited Herbert's upside as a fantasy QB1 as he ranked just 30th in expected points per game (15.6).
After the bye week, the offense leaned more into the passing game and Herbert's production increased. But it wasn't enough to get him out of low-end fantasy QB1 purgatory. He was also egregiously inconsistent. His 56% bust rate was equivalent to Caleb Williams, and the highest among all QBs inside the top 15.
The Bolts QB hasn't finished as a top 10 fantasy QB for three straight seasons, after finishing as such in his first two seasons. Unless we see a dramatic shift in personnel or offensive coaching philosophy in LA, expect Herbert to finish back in the QB10-15 range.