WR - LAC
Week 7 Outlook
Allen has looked pretty good with Justin Herbert. Since the rookie took over in Week 2, Allen has posted point totals of 13.1, 23.7, 10.2, and 9.9. It's worth noting that Allen's best performance came in a game that Mike Williams left with a hamstring injury. Allen is a high-floor, volume-based play at WR2, but he doesn't have much upside. The Chargers have a litany of faster weapons who are likelier to get deep targets.
Allen seems like he's on track to play in this one after leaving their last game early with a back injury. If he's on the field, you're starting him in your lineup due to the sheer amount of targets he's going to command. Allen can be viewed as a solid WR2 this week that gets a bump up in Full PPR formats.
He had to leave their Week 5 game early due to some back issues but they're expecting him to be fine moving forward. Over his last three and a half games with Herbert, he's racked up 42 targets, 30 receptions, 319 yards, and two touchdowns. Despite missing almost one full game, he was the No. 13 wide receiver during that stretch. With Austin Ekeler out of the lineup, the Chargers are extremely top-heavy in where their targets are going, so the concerns about Herbert's upside not throwing the ball a ton in this matchup don't trickle down to Allen very much. The Jaguars are allowing a massive 69.9 percent catch-rate to receivers, along with 9.0 yards per target, which are both in the top-10. There have been 10 wide receivers who've turned in double-digit PPR performances against the Jaguars, though just one of them (Brandin Cooks) has finished better than the WR20. He was also the only receiver who saw double-digit target against the Jaguars, so we shouldn't be worried about Allen's upside here, especially when we see that Adam Humphries totaled 5/48/1 and Tyler Boyd posted 7/90/0, both fellow slot-heavy receivers. Start Allen as a high-end WR2.
The Jaguars are just 17th against fantasy wide receivers, Allen should be a WR2 at home coming off his bye week, as long as his back was able to recover over the bye week.