Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones

WR - DET
Height: 6' 2"Weight: 198 lbsAge: 28College: CaliforniaDrafted: #166 (5th Rd. by Cincinnati)

2018 Outlook

Strength of Schedule:
13th easiest for WRs
Draft Rank (ECR) #46
Best / Worst #22 / #86
ADP #58

Ownership

 
Yahoo
94%
 
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96%
 
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After seeing 107 targets in 2017, Jones' incredible touchdown rate propped him all the way up to the WR5 in standard leagues. He caught a touchdown once every 11.9 targets, which is almost double the average rate for wide receivers, which stands at one every 22.8 targets. After scoring just four touchdowns the prior season in the same offense, you have to wonder just how sustainable his touchdown total is. On top of that, the Lions continue to hype up Kenny Golladay, who is another big-bodied wide receiver to take away some of those looks. Jones is a solid fantasy asset, but don't pay for last year's numbers. He averaged just 5.3 targets per game with Golladay in the lineup, but 9.8 targets per game when he was held out. He's going to have some big games, but he'll likely have to share the stage with Golladay at times.

Typically known for his acrobatic catches, the Detroit Lions receiver had a fantastic season last year, ending shockingly as the #5 receiver in standard points leagues. That startlingly high level of production was buoyed by a very high nine total touchdowns, however there's reason to think Jones could post similar scoring rates this year. Jones was the go-to receiver in the red zone last year, earning 43% of the Lions red zone targets, good for 6th in the NFL, and on the other end of the field, Jones functioned primarily as the Lions deep threat receiver, granting him chunk yardage. While I don't expect the exact same prolific catch rates and TD production that catapulted him into the elite receiver tier given a couple key additions to the Lions' runnin back corps, don't be surprised if Jones ends the season among names like Thielen, Green, and Adams squarely within the top 10.

Jones isn't a PPR stud, but he sure was great on deep passes last season and finished as the fifth-best fantasy receiver in non-PPR and 11th in PPR. He'll have his inconsistencies as a home run hitter, but I think he's found a strong-armed quarterback to keep him in he fantasy points.

A stunning WR5, Jones submitted an NFL-high 18 yards per reception with the second-best DVAR behind Antonio Brown. He led the league in yards on contested catches (467) and posted a play of more than 20 yards in all but two contests. For all of these superlatives, he's also unlikely to sustain elite production with 3.8 catches per game. This could be a case, however, of a clear regression candidate turning into a value if he keeps falling beyond the fifth round.

Jones has some competition for targets in DET and he's usually fairly TD dependent. I'm not enthralled with him this year

Jones wasn't great to close the season and he is definitely due for some touchdown-rate regression, but he was the #4 fantasy receiver last year in the league, so even though he will take a big step backward, he should still be considered a clear-cut WR2.

Jones showed us all a glimpse of his upside with Stafford

Jones was actually the 8th ranked fantasy wide receiver with 61 receptions for 1,101 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has a lot of talent and should at least be a WR2 in 2018, but the Lions will probably run the ball more in 2018.