Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson had Grand Canyon-sized splits last year when Marvin Harrison Jr. was out of the lineup versus when he was healthy. In the eight games Harrison Jr. was active before his heel injury and was healthy, Wilson had only an 11.7% target share, 23.4 receiving yards per game, 0.72 yards per route run, and a 14.1% first-read share (per Fantasy Points Data). That isn't remotely close to fantasy-viable production. In the games Harrison Jr. missed and during Weeks 16 & 17 (after Harrison Jr returned post heel injury), Wilson was absolutely fantastic with a 27.5% target share, 105.6 receiving yards per game, 2.79 yards per route run, and a 38.8% first-read share (23.3 PPR points per game). That is elite WR1-level production and efficiency. Wilson is a decent late-round receiver option, but I don't know if that level of production happens again, even in a watered-down fashion, if Harrison Jr. is healthy and the Cardinals get replacement-level quarterback play in 2026.

Michael Wilson's 2025 breakout came with massive context attached, as nearly all of his fantasy production occurred when Marvin Harrison Jr. was sidelined. Wilson averaged elite WR1 numbers without MHJ in the lineup, but his role and target rate cratered whenever Arizona's No. 1 receiver was active. The Cardinals are also expected to lean more balanced offensively after investing heavily in the run game during the 2026 NFL Draft with the selection of Jeremiyah Love. Wilson can still provide spike weeks, but expecting last season's counting stats to repeat in a healthier Arizona offense feels overly optimistic.