RB - CLE
Week 2 Outlook
The Bengals' run defense is nothing to write home about and while this team made several key additions over the offseason, I'm not expecting it to translate right away. Depending on how you ask, Nick Chubb might be the best runner in football and he's set up for a dominant bounce-back performance after a disappointing Week 1 against the Ravens. He's a low-end RB1 with high-end upside.
Chubb has seen his stock fall this week. Some of it is fair, as it looks like Kareem Hunt may have a bigger role in some games than he will. But it isn't all fair -- in closer games, Chubb should still see plenty of touches. Cleveland was down big by halftime against the Ravens, and as long as they don't completely collapse against the Bengals, it's fair to expect Chubb to get the majority of touches in Stefanski's offense.
Nick Chubb disappointed fantasy managers in last week's matchup, but the Ravens got ahead early and Chubb was game-scripted out. While this is something that managers will have to be concerned about for future games, Chubb should be a key part of this matchup. With the Browns favored to win, it's likely that Chubb sees a significant increase in his usage this week, which should be music to everyone's ears. He can be started as a safe RB2 with RB1 upside this week.
The Bengals were 17th against fantasy running backs last week, Chubb should be able to build on a Week 1 performance that saw him tally 60 rushing yards in a game they fell behind in quickly.
This was close to a 50/50 timeshare in Week 1 where Chubb played 51 percent of the snaps and Hunt played 46 percent of the snaps. I suspect we'll see that favor Chubb in games the Browns win, as he's the favorite for early-down work. I say that because when the game was still within reach (first half), Chubb played 21 snaps compared to just 11 for Hunt. It should be noted that Chubb also totaled 48 of his 66 yards in the first 12 minutes of the game. This game is projected to go much differently than their Week 1 matchup did, as the Browns are near-touchdown favorites. There were just four teams who allowed more than the 190.5 total yards per game to running backs in 2019 than the Bengals. Those teams were Washington, Chiefs, Jaguars, and Dolphins. It helps that running backs combined to average 29.1 touches per game against them. After watching them allow the Chargers running backs 148 yards and a touchdown on 33 carries, it's safe to say that they still have an issue stopping the run, as everybody and their grandmother knew what the Chargers would be doing. I'm expecting the Browns to play this game close to the vest, simply getting away with a win, and considering the matchup, the production should go through their running backs. Chubb should garner at least 16 touches in this game and produce like a low-end RB1/high-end RB2.
Fantasy managers are nervous about the fact that Chubb essentially splits snaps with Kareem Hunt. But as they showed in Week 2 against the Bengals, there is plenty of room for both. The Browns are going to lean into the run as much as possible this season, and have shown no concerns about giving Chubb the ball near the end-zone. He's a borderline RB1 who can be started with confidence each week.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB-KC
recommended by 79% of experts
Jonathan Taylor RB-IND
recommended by 57% of experts
Aaron Jones RB-GB
recommended by 38% of experts
Joe Mixon RB-CIN
recommended by 26% of experts
|T-1.||Derek Lofland||RB #8|
|T-1.||Ken Zalis||RB #7|
|T-1.||Sean Koerner||RB #7|
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