TE - Pittsburgh Steelers Questionable
- 6' 5"
- 258 lbs
- Age 28
- Penn State
79°- Wk Rank (ECR)
- TE #13
- Proj.
- 8.1 pts
- Matchup (?)
Pat Freiermuth is a popular streaming tight end option for Week 6, and I'm going against the consensus and fading him this week. Last week, Freiermuth exploded with two scores as the TE4 for the week, leaving him as the TE10 in fantasy points per game for the season. Muth has a 13.4% target share, 1.30 YPRR, five red zone targets, three deep targets, and a 15.4% first-read share. The matchup on paper looks good for Muth, but the coverage structure isn't in his favor at all. Tampa Bay has allowed the 11th-most receiving fantasy points per game and the 14th-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends. Tampa Bay has the second-highest rate of single-high in the NFL (65.2%). Freiermuth has been one of their go-tos against two-high and usually non-existent vs. single-high. Against two-high, Freiermuth has a 29% target-per-route run rate and 2.12 YPRR, but against single-high he has only a 12% target-per-route run rate and 0.80 YPRR. Even going all the way back to 2025, Freiermuth has only had a 15% target-per-route run rate against single-high with 0.84 YPRR. Freiermuth will need a touchdown to likely save his fantasy day this week because I'm not projecting an encore of last week's game in Week 6.
Pat Freiermuth has yet to reach 50 receiving yards in a game this season, but he has four TD catches. Although his fantasy production has been heavily TD-driven, Freiermuth is averaging 3.8 catches a game, so there's a decent floor here even if he doesn't come through with a touchdown.
Freiermuth has a Week 6 matchup against a Buccaneers defense that has allowed three TD catches to tight ends.
