QB - MIA
Week 4 Outlook
How quickly all those offseason concerns for Tagovailoa have disappeared. That's what happens when you continually prove the doubters wrong. Tagovailoa continues to do just that. He is the QB4 in fantasy, ranking first in passing grade, tenth-best in adjusted completion rate, and first in big-time throw rate. The Bills are a formidable pass defense, but Tagovailoa can still carve them up. Buffalo has held the opposition to 20th in yards per attempt, but they have surrendered the tenth-highest adjusted completion rate. Buffalo has also had issues defending the deep ball. Last year, Buffalo defended the 13th-fewest deep ball attempts in the NFL, but they gave up the 12th-highest adjusted completion rate and ninth-highest passer rating on throw 20 or more yards. This season, Tagovailoa has the eighth-most deep attempts (tied) and the ninth-highest deep-adjusted completion rate. Buffalo is sixth in pressure rate, but Miami has allowed Tagovailoa to face the league's lowest pressure rate. The Tua train continues to roll this week. Week 4 Positional Value: QB1
Tua Tagovailoa has posted a 28-point fantasy game in 2 of his 3 games. this year. Buffalo is 2nd against fantasy QBs, but they have not played an offense like this and Tagovailoa should be an elite QB1 in a likely shootout.