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Brian Hill

Brian Hill

RB - ATL
Height: 6' 1"Weight: 219 lbsAge: 25College: WyomingDrafted: #156 (5th Rd. by Atlanta)

Week 13 Outlook

NO @ ATL
Sun 1:00pm ET
Matchup (?)
Week Rank (ECR) RB #39
Projection 5.2 pts

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27%
 
ESPN
25%
 
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Expert Note
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Raheem Morris said they're "hopeful" to get Gurley back this week, though that's hardly a guarantee. With him out of the lineup Hill and Smith shared the touches, though it was Smith who was more efficient, finishing with 75 total yards and a touchdown on 16 touches compared to Hill's 55 total yards on 13 touches. We could sit here and talk about what this timeshare is without Gurley, but it won't make much of a difference in Week 13, as you really don't want to play either of them against the Saints, who've allowed the fewest fantasy points to running backs. The competition they've played isn't in question either, as running backs have averaged 6.9 fewer half-PPR points against the Saints than they do in non-Saints games. That's easily the biggest gap in the league. Of the production the Saints have allowed to skill-position players (63.0 PPR points per game), just 26.6 percent of it goes to running backs, which is the second-lowest percentage in football. There are just three teams in the NFL who've allowed fewer than 10.0 fantasy points per game on the ground to running backs. The Falcons, Saints, and Bucs. We know that touchdowns are important to production in this backfield by now, right? Well, the Saints have allowed just five total touchdowns to running backs this year, or one every 53.8 touches. Both of those are the best numbers in the league. They've allowed just 27 percent of carries inside the five-yard line be converted into touchdowns, which is the third-lowest percentage in the league, so even if Gurley plays, his touchdown-dependent stat lines are problematic. That should be enough for you to worry, but what about when I tell you they've allowed a league-low 1,049 total yards to running backs this year (95.4 per game)? When you factor in weighted opportunity, the Saints have allowed 8.6 percent fewer points per opportunity than any other team in the league. The average RB1 performance in 2019 was 17.2 PPR points. The Saints are the only team in the league who've yet to allow a running back hit that mark. Even if Gurley suits up, he's just a boring RB3 who will bust if he doesn't score. If he doesn't play, Smith would be the preferred option, as he at least gets passing-down usage, but he'd be just a low-end RB3/high-end RB4.

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Brian Hill struggles in Week 12 start

Falcons RB Brian Hill rushed 13 times for 55 yards and failed to haul in his lone target in Sunday's Week 12 win over the Raiders.

Fantasy Impact

With Todd Gurley sidelined, Hill got the start but was disappointing in the effort. In fact, he ceded touches to Ito Smith as the game went on and was out-played by the No. 3 back. Smith had 10 more yards and a touchdown on one less carry. If Gurley misses more time, it will likely be Smith handling the starting duties beginning in Week 13 against the Saints.

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Fantasy Football Rankings: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (December 2020 Update) photo
Have you ever had an offer sent to you that included a total of six different players including draft picks and you had no ...
by Mike Tagliere in FantasyDec 4, 2020
Rankings
ECRBestWorst# of Experts
Week 13RB #39RB #35RB #5414
Rest of Season RB #57RB #55RB #593
Dynasty RB #85RB #65RB #9910
Projections
(Week 13)
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Projections (Week 13)
Rush AttRush YdsRush TdsRecsRec YdsRec TdsFumblesPoints
8.5340.11.711.900.15.2
History
Statistics
(avgs.)
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Statistics (avgs.)
Rush YdsRush TdsRecsPoints
Last Week55005.5
Last 3 Weeks32.3003.2
Season to Date28.70.11.54.2
Game Log
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Game Log
OPPRush YdsRush TdsRecsPoints
Week 12vs. LV55005.5
Week 11@ NO18001.8
Week 9vs. DEN24002.4
Week 8@ CAR55026.4
Strength of Schedule
(2020)
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Strength of Schedule (2020)
OppSummary
Next Gamevs. NO32nd easiest opponent
Next 3 GamesLAC, TB, KC25th easiest opponents
Playoffs (?)LAC, TB, KC25th easiest opponents
Rest of Season--32nd easiest remaining opponents
Who Should I Start?
recommended by 78% of experts
recommended by 82% of experts
recommended by 58% of experts
recommended by 47% of experts
Most Accurate Experts
for Brian Hill
Most accurate experts for Brian Hill
1.John FergusonRB #40
T-2.Heath Capps-
T-2.Geoff LambertRB #38
4.The FFGhost-
5.David Zach-
View Overall Accuracy Rankings