DeVonta Smith for Justin Jefferson (2026)
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Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | DeVonta Smith WR - PHI ![]() DeVonta Smith WR - PHI |   | |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop WR ExpertsTop Player Experts | Upgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| Rest of Season | # 6 | # 16 | - |
| Draft | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. GB | vs. WAS | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. WRs perform close to their average vs GB | This is a 4 star matchup. WRs perform a little better than their average vs WAS | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 117.5 | 124.8 | - |
| Avg Game | 6.9 | 7.3 | - |
| Avg Projection | 170.9 | 148.9 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 1 | 6 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Justin Jefferson | DeVonta Smith | Add Player |
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07/21 | #6 | #12 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #12 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #11 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #16 | - |
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07/20 | #5 | #11 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #13 | - |
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07/20 | #8 | #12 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #17 | - |
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07/19 | #8 | #11 | - |
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07/19 | #5 | #19 | - |
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07/19 | #6 | #19 | - |
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07/19 | #7 | #27 | - |
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07/19 | #8 | #10 | - |
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07/18 | #9 | #20 | - |
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07/18 | #6 | #23 | - |
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07/18 | #7 | #14 | - |
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07/20 | #8 | #9 | - |
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07/17 | #4 | #19 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #16 | - |
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07/17 | #7 | #16 | - |
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07/17 | #9 | #21 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #20 | - |
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07/17 | #5 | #20 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #14 | - |
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07/16 | #6 | #27 | - |
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07/16 | #5 | #21 | - |
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07/17 | #5 | #20 | - |
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07/15 | #6 | #18 | - |
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07/15 | #8 | #16 | - |
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07/16 | #9 | #20 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #11 | - |
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07/15 | #4 | #24 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #18 | - |
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07/14 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/14 | #5 | #12 | - |
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07/14 | #7 | #12 | - |
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07/13 | #6 | #12 | - |
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07/13 | #4 | #14 | - |
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07/13 | #4 | #12 | - |
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07/12 | #5 | #18 | - |
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07/12 | #8 | #14 | - |
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07/12 | #5 | #12 | - |
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07/11 | #6 | #18 | - |
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07/10 | #4 | #12 | - |
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07/14 | #8 | #17 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #13 | - |
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07/09 | #5 | #15 | - |
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07/08 | #5 | #13 | - |
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07/08 | #1 | #23 | - |
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07/08 | #4 | #16 | - |
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07/07 | #4 | #9 | - |
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07/17 | #8 | #14 | - |
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07/06 | #6 | #11 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/05 | #9 | #21 | - |
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07/19 | #3 | #11 | - |
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07/17 | #14 | #12 | - |
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07/03 | #6 | #17 | - |
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07/01 | #9 | #14 | - |
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07/01 | #6 | #19 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #16 | - |
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06/30 | #3 | #12 | - |
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07/07 | #12 | #21 | - |
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07/10 | #5 | #12 | - |
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06/28 | #5 | #19 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #16 | - |
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06/28 | #5 | #19 | - |
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06/26 | #10 | #19 | - |
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06/25 | #6 | #17 | - |
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07/13 | #6 | #17 | - |
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06/19 | #22 | #31 | - |
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06/15 | #6 | #18 | - |
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07/02 | #8 | #22 | - |
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07/08 | #6 | #15 | - |
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06/12 | #6 | #14 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #12 | - |
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06/08 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #15 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #17 | - |
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05/29 | #7 | #25 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #17 | - |
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07/08 | #5 | #18 | - |
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06/04 | #6 | #12 | - |
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05/21 | #4 | #28 | - |
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05/18 | #6 | #19 | - |
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07/01 | #7 | #16 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #9 | - |
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05/11 | #7 | #18 | - |
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05/09 | #8 | #19 | - |
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05/11 | #8 | #21 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #17 | - |
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04/28 | #11 | #16 | - |
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04/27 | #6 | #13 | - |
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04/27 | #6 | #16 | - |
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06/09 | #9 | #19 | - |
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05/20 | #10 | #27 | - |
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04/20 | #7 | #21 | - |
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07/09 | #6 | #14 | - |
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03/24 | #9 | #26 | - |
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03/09 | #10 | #25 | - |
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01/07 | #13 | #38 | - |
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07/15 | #8 | #29 | - |
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01/07 | #9 | #30 | - |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | DeVonta Smith WR - PHI ![]() DeVonta Smith WR - PHI | |
| 2026 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. GB | vs. WAS |
| Week 2 | at CHI | at TEN |
| Week 3 | at TB | at CHI |
| Week 4 | vs. MIA | vs. LAR |
| Week 5 | at NO | at JAC |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | vs. CAR |
| Week 7 | vs. IND | vs. DAL |
| Week 8 | at DET | at WAS |
| Week 9 | vs. BUF | vs. NYG |
| Week 10 | at GB | BYE WEEK |
| Week 11 | at SF | vs. PIT |
| Week 12 | vs. ATL | at DAL |
| Week 13 | vs. CAR | at ARI |
| Week 14 | at NE | vs. IND |
| Week 15 | vs. DET | vs. SEA |
| Week 16 | vs. WAS | vs. HOU |
| Week 17 | at NYJ | at SF |
| Week 18 | vs. CHI | at NYG |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | DeVonta Smith WR - PHI ![]() DeVonta Smith WR - PHI | |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 98.6 | 87.8 |
| Rec Yards | 1,301.3 | 1,134.7 |
| Rec TDs | 6.8 | 6.0 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Rush Yards | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Rush TDs | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 170.9 | 148.9 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | DeVonta Smith WR - PHI ![]() DeVonta Smith WR - PHI | |
| 2025 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 10.8 | 1.6 |
| Week 2 | 8.1 | 5.3 |
| Week 3 | 7.5 | 12.0 |
| Week 4 | 12.6 | 2.9 |
| Week 5 | 12.3 | 11.4 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 4.9 |
| Week 7 | 7.9 | 24.3 |
| Week 8 | 7.4 | 8.4 |
| Week 9 | 10.7 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | 3.7 | 12.9 |
| Week 11 | 6.1 | 0.8 |
| Week 12 | 4.8 | 8.9 |
| Week 13 | 0.4 | 4.8 |
| Week 14 | 1.1 | 3.7 |
| Week 15 | 2.2 | 5.0 |
| Week 16 | 8.5 | 10.2 |
| Week 17 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Week 18 | 10.4 | 5.2 |
| Total | 117.5 | 124.8 |
| Average | 6.9 | 7.3 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | DeVonta Smith WR - PHI ![]() DeVonta Smith WR - PHI | |
| 2025 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Week 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Week 3 | 7 | 9 |
| Week 4 | 11 | 2 |
| Week 5 | 11 | 10 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 5 |
| Week 7 | 10 | 11 |
| Week 8 | 11 | 9 |
| Week 9 | 9 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | 12 | 7 |
| Week 11 | 9 | 5 |
| Week 12 | 6 | 11 |
| Week 13 | 6 | 8 |
| Week 14 | 4 | 8 |
| Week 15 | 8 | 2 |
| Week 16 | 8 | 8 |
| Week 17 | 5 | 5 |
| Week 18 | 11 | 4 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | DeVonta Smith WR - PHI ![]() DeVonta Smith WR - PHI | |
| Expert | ||
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data). A lot of the blame can fall at the feet of Minny's quarterback room last year, but not all of it, considering the per-route metrics as well as the fact that Jefferson was tied for the sixth-most drops. Yes, he was also 78th in catchable target rate, so 2025 was a mixed bag with some blame on both sides of the aisle. Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026. He could easily return to being a top 10 fantasy wideout as he has been every year of his NFL career (outside of 2025), but there's still some risk with Kyler Murray or J.J. McCarthy throwing him the ball this season. | DeVonta Smith steps into the clear WR1 chair for the Philly passing attack. Over the last two years, in a VERY small sample, Smith has proven that he can handle it. In three games since 2024, without A.J. Brown on the field, Smith has commanded a 32.9% target share while producing 2.65 yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Yes, I know the sample is tiny, but it is signal that Smith can command WR1-level volume and remain efficient while doing so. Last year, among 109 qualifying receivers, Smith was also 27th in separation and 28th in route win rate. Last year, Smith also drew a 22.7% target share while producing 2.03 yards per route run (22nd) and 0.089 first downs per route run (32nd). I expect all of those marks to improve in 2026 with Smith leading the way for Philly. He's a WR1/2 with some upside and an extremely high floor. |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Justin Jefferson's disappointing 2025 season was far more about quarterback dysfunction than any decline in talent. Even during a "down year," Jefferson still commanded an elite target share, while poor QB play and brutal touchdown luck tanked his fantasy production. The arrival of Kyler Murray gives Minnesota's superstar receiver a massive opportunity to rebound into the elite WR1 tier, where he has spent his entire career. Fantasy managers should treat Jefferson as a prime bounce-back candidate and one of the best values among first-round receivers in 2026 drafts. | DeVonta Smith enters 2026 positioned to lead the Eagles in targets with A.J. Brown no longer in Philadelphia. The former first-round pick has consistently flashed WR1 upside whenever Brown or Dallas Goedert have missed time, while quietly delivering his third 1,000-yard season in 2025. Smith was extremely efficient last season, posting career highs in yards per route run (3.1) and yards per target (11.9) when aligned out wide. Even with rookie Makai Lemon added to the mix, Smith profiles as the clear focal point of the Eagles' passing attack with top-12 fantasy upside. |
| Chris Welsh FantasyPros | - #7 in Target Share at 30.1% | |


