Jaylen Waddle for Justin Jefferson (2026)
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Justin Jefferson WR - MIN  Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN  Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN |  | |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop WR ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would tradeUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| Rest of Season | # 6 | # 23 | - |
| Draft | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. GB | at KC | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. WRs perform close to their average vs GB | This is a 3 star matchup. WRs perform close to their average vs KC | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 117.5 | 130.1 | - |
| Avg Game | 6.9 | 8.1 | - |
| Avg Projection | 171.0 | 135.1 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 1 | 28 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Justin Jefferson | Jaylen Waddle | Add Player |
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07/25 | #5 | #27 | - |
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07/25 | #5 | #26 | - |
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07/25 | #8 | #26 | - |
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07/25 | #5 | #18 | - |
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07/24 | #4 | #18 | - |
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07/24 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/24 | #8 | #21 | - |
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07/24 | #6 | #22 | - |
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07/24 | #5 | #32 | - |
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07/24 | #6 | #21 | - |
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07/23 | #9 | #23 | - |
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07/23 | #5 | #22 | - |
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07/23 | #6 | #21 | - |
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07/23 | #5 | #20 | - |
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07/24 | #6 | #19 | - |
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07/23 | #11 | #20 | - |
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07/22 | #6 | #16 | - |
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07/22 | #6 | #18 | - |
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07/22 | #4 | #26 | - |
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07/22 | #1 | #22 | - |
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07/24 | #4 | #23 | - |
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07/22 | #9 | #20 | - |
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07/21 | #4 | #27 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #25 | - |
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07/21 | #7 | #20 | - |
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07/20 | #5 | #15 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #27 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #24 | - |
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07/19 | #8 | #12 | - |
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07/19 | #5 | #22 | - |
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07/19 | #6 | #21 | - |
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07/19 | #7 | #15 | - |
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07/24 | #8 | #20 | - |
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07/18 | #9 | #24 | - |
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07/18 | #6 | #24 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #22 | - |
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07/17 | #7 | #22 | - |
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07/17 | #9 | #31 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #25 | - |
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07/17 | #5 | #16 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #26 | - |
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07/16 | #6 | #18 | - |
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07/22 | #5 | #26 | - |
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07/15 | #6 | #25 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #12 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #26 | - |
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07/14 | #6 | #23 | - |
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07/14 | #5 | #22 | - |
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07/14 | #7 | #21 | - |
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07/13 | #6 | #24 | - |
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07/23 | #4 | #18 | - |
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07/13 | #4 | #28 | - |
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07/12 | #5 | #22 | - |
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07/12 | #8 | #12 | - |
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07/12 | #5 | #29 | - |
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07/11 | #6 | #24 | - |
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07/10 | #4 | #20 | - |
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07/14 | #8 | #12 | - |
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07/22 | #7 | #26 | - |
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07/08 | #5 | #25 | - |
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07/07 | #4 | #22 | - |
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07/17 | #8 | #22 | - |
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07/06 | #6 | #28 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #22 | - |
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07/05 | #9 | #15 | - |
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07/19 | #3 | #19 | - |
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07/17 | #14 | #10 | - |
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07/03 | #6 | #24 | - |
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07/01 | #9 | #25 | - |
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07/24 | #6 | #20 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #19 | - |
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06/30 | #3 | #19 | - |
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07/07 | #12 | #31 | - |
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07/10 | #5 | #28 | - |
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06/28 | #5 | #26 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #26 | - |
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06/28 | #5 | #24 | - |
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06/26 | #10 | #29 | - |
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06/25 | #6 | #24 | - |
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07/13 | #6 | #21 | - |
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06/19 | #22 | #23 | - |
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06/15 | #6 | #25 | - |
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07/23 | #7 | #23 | - |
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06/12 | #6 | #28 | - |
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06/08 | #6 | #21 | - |
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07/22 | #5 | #16 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #21 | - |
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05/29 | #7 | #28 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #25 | - |
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07/23 | #5 | #29 | - |
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06/04 | #6 | #27 | - |
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05/21 | #4 | #27 | - |
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05/18 | #6 | #26 | - |
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07/01 | #7 | #25 | - |
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07/25 | #5 | #27 | - |
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05/11 | #7 | #23 | - |
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05/09 | #8 | #29 | - |
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05/11 | #8 | #25 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #20 | - |
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04/28 | #11 | #22 | - |
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04/27 | #6 | #20 | - |
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04/27 | #6 | #26 | - |
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06/09 | #9 | #20 | - |
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05/20 | #10 | #17 | - |
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04/20 | #7 | #25 | - |
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07/09 | #6 | #28 | - |
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03/24 | #9 | #20 | - |
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03/09 | #10 | #19 | - |
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01/07 | #13 | #27 | - |
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07/15 | #8 | #20 | - |
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01/07 | #9 | #21 | - |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN | |
| 2026 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. GB | at KC |
| Week 2 | at CHI | vs. JAC |
| Week 3 | at TB | vs. LAR |
| Week 4 | vs. MIA | at SF |
| Week 5 | at NO | at LAC |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | vs. SEA |
| Week 7 | vs. IND | at ARI |
| Week 8 | at DET | vs. KC |
| Week 9 | vs. BUF | at CAR |
| Week 10 | at GB | BYE WEEK |
| Week 11 | at SF | vs. LV |
| Week 12 | vs. ATL | at PIT |
| Week 13 | vs. CAR | vs. MIA |
| Week 14 | at NE | at NYJ |
| Week 15 | vs. DET | at LV |
| Week 16 | vs. WAS | vs. BUF |
| Week 17 | at NYJ | at NE |
| Week 18 | vs. CHI | vs. LAC |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN | |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 98.6 | 74.6 |
| Rec Yards | 1,302.0 | 983.8 |
| Rec TDs | 6.8 | 6.0 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Rush Yards | 5.5 | 12.4 |
| Rush TDs | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 171.0 | 135.1 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN | |
| 2025 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 10.8 | 3.0 |
| Week 2 | 8.1 | 12.8 |
| Week 3 | 7.5 | 9.9 |
| Week 4 | 12.6 | 4.8 |
| Week 5 | 12.3 | 17.0 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 9.8 |
| Week 7 | 7.9 | 1.5 |
| Week 8 | 7.4 | 15.9 |
| Week 9 | 10.7 | 8.2 |
| Week 10 | 3.7 | 14.4 |
| Week 11 | 6.1 | 5.2 |
| Week 12 | 4.8 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 0.4 | 4.0 |
| Week 14 | 1.1 | 13.1 |
| Week 15 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Week 16 | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Week 17 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
| Week 18 | 10.4 | ‐ |
| Total | 117.5 | 130.1 |
| Average | 6.9 | 8.1 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN | |
| 2025 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 7 | 5 |
| Week 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Week 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Week 4 | 11 | 6 |
| Week 5 | 11 | 9 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 8 |
| Week 7 | 10 | 4 |
| Week 8 | 11 | 6 |
| Week 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Week 10 | 12 | 7 |
| Week 11 | 9 | 7 |
| Week 12 | 6 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 6 | 6 |
| Week 14 | 4 | 7 |
| Week 15 | 8 | 4 |
| Week 16 | 8 | 9 |
| Week 17 | 5 | 1 |
| Week 18 | 11 | ‐ |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN Jaylen Waddle WR - DEN | |
| Expert | ||
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Justin Jefferson's disappointing 2025 season was far more about quarterback dysfunction than any decline in talent. Even during a "down year," Jefferson still commanded an elite target share, while poor QB play and brutal touchdown luck tanked his fantasy production. The arrival of Kyler Murray gives Minnesota's superstar receiver a massive opportunity to rebound into the elite WR1 tier, where he has spent his entire career. Fantasy managers should treat Jefferson as a prime bounce-back candidate and one of the best values among first-round receivers in 2026 drafts. | Jaylen Waddle's 2025 season looked disappointing on the surface, but Miami's run-heavy approach masked another highly efficient campaign from the former first-round pick (13th in yards per route run). Now in Denver after a blockbuster trade, Waddle steps into a pass-heavy offense where he projects as the featured receiver. His explosiveness and efficiency have consistently kept him on the WR1 fringe despite frequent nagging injuries and inconsistent volume in Miami alongside Tyreek Hill. But if Bo Nix and the Broncos offense continue ascending, 2026 could finally be the season Waddle delivers a true top-tier fantasy breakout. |
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data). A lot of the blame can fall at the feet of Minny's quarterback room last year, but not all of it, considering the per-route metrics as well as the fact that Jefferson was tied for the sixth-most drops. Yes, he was also 78th in catchable target rate, so 2025 was a mixed bag with some blame on both sides of the aisle. Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026. He could easily return to being a top 10 fantasy wideout as he has been every year of his NFL career (outside of 2025), but there's still some risk with Kyler Murray or J.J. McCarthy throwing him the ball this season. | It's Jaylen Waddle SZN! I can't wait to see him ball out in the Denver passing attack. Waddle should get a wonderful infusion of volume this season, moving from an offense that was 29th in neutral passing rate to one that was fourth in that metric last season. Overall, Denver was fourth in passing attempts behind only Arizona, Cincy, and Dallas last year. Waddle is a stud no matter what metric you look at. Last year, among 109 qualifying wide receivers (per Fantasy Points Data), he was 12th in target per route run rate, 12th in yards per route run, seventh in first downs per route run, 12th in separation score, and 11th in route win rate. He also bested Courtland Sutton in each of those metrics with the exception of route win rate (15.3% vs. 15.5%). Waddle is a flag plant player for me this year. You can easily draft him as a WR2 for your teams this season that has WR1 upside. |
| Chris Welsh FantasyPros | - #7 in Target Share at 30.1% | - Den 4th in pass attempts in 2025 - |
