Lamar Jackson for Patrick Mahomes II (2026)

Should I Trade... ?

Summary
Game Log
Stats
Projections
Points
Notes

Player Summaries Comparison
	Lamar Jackson QB - BAL Lamar Jackson QB - BAL	Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC
Most Accurate Experts

Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts	See who the Most Accurate Experts would trade Upgrade Now

Rankings

Rest of Season	# 2	# 14	-
Draft	‐	‐	-

Matchup

Opponent	at IND	vs. DEN	-
Matchup Rating	This is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs IND	This is a 1 star matchup. QBs perform worse than their average vs DEN	-

Fantasy Points

Season Total	221.8	295.7	-
Avg Game	17.1	21.1	-
Avg Projection	324.9	303.6	-

Schedule

SOS Rank	17	28	-

Misc

Injury Alert	‐	‐	-

Expert Ranks
	Lamar Jackson	Patrick Mahomes II	Add Player

Joel Smyth J. Smyth Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 08/03	#2	#13	-

Joe Wiggans J. Wiggans IDP Guys IDP Guys 08/03	#2	#11	-

Chris Welsh C. Welsh FantasyPros FantasyPros 08/03	#3	#15	-

Aaron St Denis A. St Denis Fantasy Sports Advice Network Fantasy Sports Adv... 08/03	#2	#14	-

Jonathan Stone J. Stone Stone Cold Fantasy Stone Cold Fantasy 08/02	#2	#13	-

Scott Pianowski S. Pianowski Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 08/02	#2	#15	-

Bart Wheeler B. Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football Hail to Fantasy Fo... 08/02	#4	#18	-

Joe Serpico J. Serpico Pressbox Pressbox 08/02	#2	#14	-

Luke Renton L. Renton The Franchise Tag UK The Franchise Tag UK 08/02	#3	#16	-

Justin Weigal J. Weigal FantasySharks FantasySharks 08/02	#2	#14	-

Andrew Scott A. Scott Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames 08/01	#2	#14	-

Francisco (Chato) Romero F. (Chato) ... Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy 08/01	#5	#14	-

Frank Ammirante F. Ammirante The Game Day The Game Day 08/01	#2	#14	-

Wolf Trelles-Heard W. Trelles-... FantasyPros FantasyPros 08/01	#2	#13	-

Mike Bland M. Bland Points Over Expected Points Over Expected 08/01	#2	#10	-

Hayden Winks H. Winks Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 08/01	#2	#18	-

Scott Engel S. Engel RotoBaller RotoBaller 08/01	#2	#14	-

Kevin Steele K. Steele The Fantasy Authority The Fantasy Authority 07/31	#2	#10	-

Justin Fuhr J. Fuhr Pro Football Mania Pro Football Mania 07/31	#2	#11	-

Matthew Hill M. Hill DataForce Fantasy Football DataForce Fantasy ... 07/31	#3	#17	-

Mauricio Gutierrez M. Gutierrez Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy 07/31	#2	#13	-

Pete Nova P. Nova FF Faceoff FF Faceoff 07/31	#2	#15	-

Kyle Senra K. Senra Going For 2 Going For 2 08/02	#5	#11	-

Kevin Roberts K. Roberts The DFS Build The DFS Build 07/31	#2	#16	-

Seth Miller S. Miller Crossroads Fantasy Football Crossroads Fantasy... 07/31	#2	#13	-

Ryan Weisse R. Weisse Club Fantasy FFL Club Fantasy FFL 07/31	#5	#10	-

Joshua Kimmel J. Kimmel FantasyNow+ FantasyNow+ 07/31	#5	#17	-

Matt Harmon M. Harmon Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 07/30	#2	#16	-

Shaun Evans S. Evans FantasyNow+ FantasyNow+ 07/30	#2	#15	-

Dylan Licciardo D. Licciardo FF Gamers FF Gamers 07/30	#2	#11	-

Doug Burrell D. Burrell Draft With Doug Draft With Doug 07/30	#2	#13	-

Nate Marcum N. Marcum Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames 07/30	#3	#12	-

Lou Brunson L. Brunson Optimus Fantasy Football Optimus Fantasy Fo... 07/30	#7	#14	-

Nic Bodiford N. Bodiford NerdBall Fantay Football NerdBall Fantay Fo... 07/30	#4	#15	-

Brady Auer B. Auer BA Sports Podcast BA Sports Podcast 07/29	#2	#12	-

Kyle Krajewski K. Krajewski First Seed Sports First Seed Sports 07/29	#2	#13	-

Brad Beatson B. Beatson Bandit Fantasy Football Bandit Fantasy Foo... 07/29	#2	#12	-

Dalton Del Don D. Del Don The Deep Shot The Deep Shot 08/01	#1	#15	-

Justin Bauerle J. Bauerle FantasyNow+ FantasyNow+ 07/28	#3	#15	-

Sky Guasco S. Guasco Razzball Razzball 07/28	#3	#13	-

Gary Davenport G. Davenport Footballguys Footballguys 07/28	#2	#12	-

Michael Hauff M. Hauff FF Faceoff FF Faceoff 07/27	#2	#14	-

Dr. Roto D. Roto FullTime Fantasy FullTime Fantasy 07/27	#6	#10	-

Josh Norris J. Norris Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 07/26	#2	#13	-

Huseyin Aksu H. Aksu Fantasy Couch Fantasy Couch 07/29	#2	#12	-

Rich Piazza R. Piazza Fantasy Shed Fantasy Shed 07/25	#3	#13	-

Des Bieler D. Bieler The Washington Post The Washington Post 07/25	#1	#13	-

Jeremy Shulman J. Shulman Fantasy Football Universe Fantasy Football U... 07/24	#2	#16	-

Rudy Gamble R. Gamble Razzball Razzball 07/23	#4	#7	-

Mason M. Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames 07/23	#3	#9	-

Adrian Alpanseque A. Alpanseque Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy 07/22	#3	#9	-

Jamie Calandro J. Calandro RotoBaller RotoBaller 07/21	#3	#15	-

Matthew Korn M. Korn DFS Dashboard DFS Dashboard 07/20	#4	#16	-

Ellis Johnson E. Johnson FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/19	#1	#15	-

James Emrick-Wilson J. Emrick-W... The Armchair Sports Corner The Armchair Sport... 07/19	#3	#14	-

Jacob Piccolo J. Piccolo TrueRGM TrueRGM 07/27	#2	#14	-

Andrew Leduc A. Leduc That Sports Podcast Network That Sports Podcas... 07/18	#7	#14	-

David Heilman D. Heilman Dynasty Trade Calculator Dynasty Trade Calc... 07/17	#2	#15	-

Matt Donnelly M. Donnelly Dynasty Vipers Dynasty Vipers 07/17	#5	#13	-

Dennis Sosic D. Sosic Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack 07/17	#2	#15	-

Justin Lampkin J. Lampkin Clock Management Fantasy Football Clock Management F... 07/16	#4	#14	-

Jorge B. Edwards J. B. Edwards Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames 07/26	#2	#15	-

Muntradamus M. Beast Dome Beast Dome 07/15	#2	#13	-

Matt Okada M. Okada 4for4.com 4for4.com 07/15	#2	#20	-

Kelly Kirby K. Kirby FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/14	#2	#14	-

Kev Wheeler K. Wheeler Wheel Route FF Wheel Route FF 07/14	#2	#11	-

Justin Boone J. Boone Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports 07/14	#2	#15	-

Elliot Berkovits E. Berkovits Packer Report Packer Report 07/14	#3	#13	-

Kev Mahserejian K. Mahserejian Razzball Razzball 07/13	#2	#11	-

Jason Willan J. Willan Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts 07/30	#2	#18	-

Pierre Camus P. Camus Fantasy Endgame Fantasy Endgame 07/13	#2	#12	-

David Biggs D. Biggs Drink Five Drink Five 07/12	#3	#14	-

The Tecmo Weave T. Tecmo Weave Lab 52 Lab 52 07/12	#5	#7	-

Adam Dove A. Dove The Fantasy Couriers The Fantasy Couriers 08/02	#5	#21	-

Brian Hartman B. Hartman QB List QB List 07/27	#2	#17	-

Lee Wehry L. Wehry FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/10	#3	#15	-

Daniel Mader D. Mader Fantasy Football Advice Fantasy Football A... 08/01	#3	#13	-

Nick Raducanu N. Raducanu Dr. Roto Dr. Roto 07/07	#3	#10	-

Steven Pintado S. Pintado QB List QB List 07/06	#2	#15	-

Kyle Yates K. Yates Yates Fantasy Football Yates Fantasy Foot... 08/02	#2	#14	-

Mike MacGregor M. MacGregor Draft Buddy Draft Buddy 07/28	#3	#11	-

Edward Gorelik E. Gorelik End of Football End of Football 07/25	#2	#10	-

Derek Brown D. Brown FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/31	#5	#16	-

Brandon Murchison B. Murchison RotoBaller RotoBaller 07/24	#2	#17	-

Ken Zalis K. Zalis Pressbox Pressbox 08/01	#2	#15	-

Benjamin Klotz B. Klotz Touchdown Squad Touchdown Squad 06/30	#3	#13	-

Judy Adabie J. Adabie Fan Girl Football Fan Girl Football 07/07	#8	#17	-

Alfredo Brown A. Brown Footballguys Footballguys 08/01	#2	#13	-

Mick Ciallela M. Ciallela Fantrax Fantrax 06/28	#4	#11	-

Ben Wasley B. Wasley Hashtag Football Hashtag Football 07/21	#3	#14	-

Drew DeLuca D. DeLuca Going For 2 Going For 2 08/01	#5	#16	-

Blake Fincher B. Fincher Fantasy Football Cafe Fantasy Football Cafe 06/26	#2	#13	-

Nick Zylak N. Zylak Fantasy Football Advice Fantasy Football A... 06/25	#2	#15	-

Scott Bogman S. Bogman FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/13	#2	#18	-

Bradley Stalder B. Stalder Player Profiler Player Profiler 06/15	#2	#13	-

Matt De Lima M. De Lima Dr. Roto Dr. Roto 06/12	#2	#14	-

Pat Fitzmaurice P. Fitzmaurice FantasyPros FantasyPros 08/03	#2	#13	-

Andrew Erickson A. Erickson FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/31	#3	#14	-

Stacy Perez S. Perez Fan Girl Football Fan Girl Football 05/29	#4	#15	-

Seth Woolcock S. Woolcock FantasyPros FantasyPros 07/31	#3	#13	-

Ed Birdsall E. Birdsall Talking Points Sports Talking Points Sports 07/29	#2	#14	-

Joe Orrico J. Orrico No Expert Fantasy Football No Expert Fantasy ... 05/21	#3	#12	-

Cameron Sheath C. Sheath Cam Sheath Fantasy Football Blog Cam Sheath Fantasy... 08/01	#2	#14	-

Tom Strachan T. Strachan NFL Best Ball NFL Best Ball 07/25	#2	#14	-

Wyatt Bertolone W. Bertolone Player Profiler Player Profiler 08/01	#2	#15	-

Andy Behrens A. Behrens The Deep Shot The Deep Shot 08/02	#2	#12	-

Jacob Hubman J. Hubman The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli... 05/11	#2	#13	-

Richard Savill R. Savill Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack 07/27	#2	#13	-

Brandon Funston B. Funston The Athletic The Athletic 07/29	#2	#14	-

Site Rankings S. Rankings Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts 07/30	#2	#15	-

Elisha Twerski E. Twerski USA Today USA Today 04/28	#2	#15	-

Brad Evans B. Evans Bally Sports Bally Sports 04/27	#2	#15	-

Fantasy BR F. BR Fantasy BR Fantasy BR 04/27	#2	#15	-

Jacob Gibbs J. Gibbs SportsLine SportsLine 07/28	#3	#16	-

Wolf of Roto Street W. of Roto ... Roto Street Journal Roto Street Journal 07/07	#3	#12	-

Kyle Soppe K. Soppe Pro Football Network Pro Football Network 05/20	#4	#10	-

Justin Sablich J. Sablich 5th Down Fantasy 5th Down Fantasy 04/20	#2	#15	-

Tera Roberts T. Roberts OddsChecker OddsChecker 07/09	#2	#10	-

Justin Jaksa J. Jaksa Dr. Roto Dr. Roto 03/24	#2	#13	-

Kyle August K. August Fantasy Football Smackdown Fantasy Football S... 03/09	#3	#13	-

Smitty S. TheFantasyFootballShow TheFantasyFootball... 01/07	#4	#7	-

Marc Shannep M. Shannep Fantasy Knockout Fantasy Knockout 07/15	#3	#9	-

Nick Vertucci N. Vertucci Sundays Are For Football Sundays Are For Fo... 01/07	#3	#9	-

Player Game Logs Comparison
	Lamar Jackson QB - BAL Lamar Jackson QB - BAL	Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC
2026 Schedule
Week 1	at IND	vs. DEN
Week 2	vs. NO	vs. IND
Week 3	at DAL	at MIA
Week 4	vs. TEN	at LV
Week 5	at ATL	BYE WEEK
Week 6	at CLE	vs. LAC
Week 7	vs. CIN	at SEA
Week 8	at BUF	at DEN
Week 9	vs. JAC	vs. NYJ
Week 10	vs. LAC	at ATL
Week 11	at CAR	vs. ARI
Week 12	at HOU	at BUF
Week 13	BYE WEEK	at LAR
Week 14	vs. TB	at CIN
Week 15	at PIT	vs. NE
Week 16	vs. CLE	vs. SF
Week 17	at CIN	at LAC
Week 18	vs. PIT	vs. LV

Player Projections Comparison
	Lamar Jackson QB - BAL Lamar Jackson QB - BAL	Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC
Passing

Pass Att	449.3	554.7
Pass Cmp	291.9	353.3
Pass Yards	3,654.7	3,832.5
Pass TDs	28.3	27.4
Ints	9.6	11.6

Rushing

Rush Attempts	118.7	60.4
Rush Yards	639.9	359.1
Rush TDs	3.2	3.4

Misc

Fumbles	4.2	2.0

Points

Fantasy Points	324.9	303.6

Player Fantasy Points Comparison
	Lamar Jackson QB - BAL Lamar Jackson QB - BAL	Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC
2025 Points
Week 1	29.4	26.0
Week 2	26.3	23.1
Week 3	27.0	13.2
Week 4	11.7	27.3
Week 5	‐	27.7
Week 6	‐	31.5
Week 7	‐	26.2
Week 8	‐	25.0
Week 9	25.6	11.5
Week 10	16.6	‐
Week 11	6.7	14.3
Week 12	7.2	18.1
Week 13	7.5	29.4
Week 14	22.1	8.3
Week 15	15.6	14.1
Week 16	4.7	‐
Week 17	‐	‐
Week 18	21.4	‐
Total	221.8	295.7
Average	17.1	21.1

Notes for Player Combination
	Lamar Jackson QB - BAL Lamar Jackson QB - BAL	Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC
Expert
Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros	Injuries and a steep decline in rushing production cratered Lamar Jackson's fantasy value in 2025. After finishing QB1 in fantasy scoring in 2024, Jackson plummeted to a QB20 fantasy finish last season and was QB16 in fantasy points per game at the position. Jackson lost three games to an early-season hamstring injury and one game to a late-season back injury. He also dealt with knee, ankle, and toe issues that may have contributed to the sharp drop-off in his rushing numbers. In his first six seasons as a full-time starter, Jackson averaged 10 rushing attempts and 63 rushing yards per game. In 2026, he averaged 5.2 rushing attempts and 26.8 rushing yards per game. Jackson has been an elite fantasy scorer at the position for so long that it's reasonable to think better health will propel him to another high-end QB1 season. It's worth noting, however, that Jackson will be working with a new offensive coordinator, 29-year-old Declan Doyle, a former assistant to Bears head coach Ben Johnson.	Patrick Mahomes' fantasy appeal has diminished in recent years, and now the nine-year veteran is trying to recover from a major knee injury. Mahomes tore the ACL and LCL in his left knee late in the Chiefs' Week 15 loss to the Chargers in mid-December. Reports say he has been rehabbing aggressively in hopes of starting the Chiefs' Monday-night season opener against the Broncos on Sept. 14, which comes three days before his 31st birthday. Even if Mahomes is able to return for Week 1, his mobility could be compromised. Mahomes' rushing production helped him get off to a fast fantasy start in 2025. Through eight weeks, he was QB1 in fantasy scoring at 25 points per game, fueled in part by 280 rushing yards and four TD runs. Mahomes finished the year tied for QB2 in fantasy points per game behind Josh Allen, after finishing QB11 in FPPG (six games minimum) in both 2023 and 2024. Kansas City didn't make any significant additions to Mahomes' pass-catching arsenal in the offseason, but the Chiefs added RB Kenneth Walker III, who could make Mahomes' life easier by providing the Chiefs with a credible running threat.
Derek Brown FantasyPros	Yes, I'm lower than consensus with Lamar Jackson this season, but I fully acknowledge his upside. Prior to 2025, in his previous six seasons, he logged three inside as the QB3 or higher in fantasy points per game (QB3, QB1, QB1), but last season's production was frightening. Last season, in Weeks 9-18, he was the QB20 in fantasy points per game. During that stretch, among 34 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranked 33rd in highly accurate throw rate, 26th in catchable target rate, and 31st in hero throw rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Jackson is also coming off a career-worst 26.8 rushing yards per game with the second-lowest yards per carry of his career. Can we chalk a lot of that up to his injuries last year? Yes, possibly, but even if he bounces back in this department, the question is how much. Jackson will be operating behind a reworked offensive line with a new offensive playcaller and with a questionable receiving depth chart behind Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. Could everything gel this season and he be the QB1 in fantasy points per game again? Yep, that's possible, but where he's being drafted is baking in that as a near certainty when it's not. I won't discourage anyone for taking the swing on Jackson in any draft, but I won't be in 2026 unless he slips quite far past his current ADP.
Andrew Erickson FantasyPros		Our first report on Patrick Mahomes' return from injury came on January 15th, when he claimed that he is aiming to return for Week 1 with no restrictions. Given his mid-December surgery, Week 1 seems aggressively optimistic (less than 9 months). That's really the main question mark regarding Mahomes - when will he return and how effective will he be? Especially with his mobility. Mahomes ran a lot more in 2025 than he has in years past, hitting career-highs across the board (QB2 in PPG). But his passing has dipped in four consecutive seasons. And the injury makes it seem very much less likely we get Mahomes running nearly as much, especially to keep him out of harm's way. Low-end QB1 territory feels right for the Chiefs QB, weighing his early-season performance with a high return in the latter portion of the 2026 season.