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Week 11’s Most Accurate Experts

Week 11’s Most Accurate Experts

Week 11 will go down as one of the toughest weeks in recent memory when it comes to injuries. Two top 5 consensus RBs (Devonta Freeman & Charcandrick West) missed action and other big names (Justin Forsett, Marshawn Lynch) dealt with significant injuries. Needless to say, more than a few fantasy owners had their matchups derailed as the infirmary counts rose.

Of course, this means it was also a tricky week for the experts to predict. It’ll therefore comes as no surprise that the accuracy ratings in many instances are lower this week due to all of the unforeseen outcomes. Below are the 10 experts who navigated the uncertainty better than the rest. As always, you can check out the entire standings in our accuracy section.

Week 11 Accuracy Results

Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Jeff Paur – RTSports   63.7%
 2.  Sigmund Bloom – Footballguys   63.6%
 3.  Sean Koerner – STATS   62.9%
 4.  Sean Morris – Bruno Boys   62.4%
 5.  Emil Kadlec – Football Diehards   61.7%
 6.  Chris Meaney – FNTSY   59.3%
 7.  Jeff Brubach – The Fake Football   59.2%
 8.  David Dodds – Footballguys   59.2%
 9.  James Hatfield – Hatty Waiver Wire Guru   59.0%
 10  Eric Moody – FFLockerRoom   58.8%

*View Full Accuracy Scores (128 experts) | Combine Top Experts into Consensus Rankings

Congrats to week 11’s most accurate expert: Jeff Paul (RTSports). Paur’s best rankings came at the RB position. He was one of the experts who believed in LeSean McCoy (123 yards, 1 TD) despite his difficult matchup at New England. Only one expert ranked McCoy higher (Paur’s #7 RB) for what would ultimately be a top 5 performance. Paur also had the good sense to slot Doug Martin (235 yards) inside his top 10 RBs. That was a decision that only 3 other experts made, with the pundits likely banking on a (previously) stout Eagles’ defensive line to slow down the Muscle Hamster. Of course, being accurate is more than just calling out the studs. Paur also did a nice job of downgrading several of week 11’s biggest disappointments. Specifically, he was at least 4 spots below the Expert Consensus for Matt Jones (scored negative fantasy points), Lamar Miller (55 yards, 0 TDs) and Chris Ivory (45 yards, 0 TDs).

Peak Performers

As always, we recognize the experts that did the best job of ranking week 11′s peak performers. Below are several key players that came through beyond expectations for fantasy owners along with the experts who delivered their top ranking.

Jameis Winston SmallJameis Winston (TB)
Consensus: QB #20
Best Rank: QB #12
Actual Rank: QB #2
Top Expert: Marcas Grant (NFL.com) and Alex Gelhar (NFL.com)

Russell Wilson SmallRussell Wilson (SEA)
Consensus: QB #11
Best Rank: QB #3
Actual Rank: QB #3
Top Expert: Tony Mauriello (ProjectRoto)

Thomas_Rawls_SmallThomas Rawls (SEA)
Consensus: RB #45
Best Rank: RB #24
Actual Rank: RB #1
Top Expert: Sigmund Bloom (FootballGuys)

Doug Martin SmallDoug Martin (TB)
Consensus: RB #16
Best Rank: RB #5
Actual Rank: RB #2
Top Expert: Sigmund Bloom (FootballGuys)

Ahmad Bradshaw SmallAhmad Bradshaw (IND)
Consensus: RB #44
Best Rank: RB #27
Actual Rank: RB #5
Top Expert: Zach Wilkens (RotoBaller)

James Jones SmallJames Jones (NO)
Consensus: WR #37
Best Rank: WR #28
Actual Rank: WR #3
Top Expert: Raju Byfield (Win My Fantasy League)

Tyler Lockett SmallTyler Lockette (SEA)
Consensus: WR #58
Best Rank: WR #41
Actual Rank: WR #5
Top Expert: R.C. Fischer (Fantasy Football Metrics)

DeSean Jackson Redskins SmallDeSean Jackson (WAS)
Consensus: WR #33
Best Rank: WR #23
Actual Rank: WR #6
Top Expert: Tony Mauriello (ProjectRoto)

Kyle Rudolph SmallKyle Rudolph (MIN)
Consensus: TE #19
Best Rank: TE #11
Actual Rank: TE #1
Top Expert: Marcas Grant (NFL.com)

Year-to-Date Accuracy

Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Sean Koerner – STATS  60.1%
 2.  John Paulsen – 4for4.com  58.9%
 3.  Jeff Ratcliffe – Pro Football Focus  58.9%
 4.  Michael Fabiano – NFL.com  58.7%
 5.  Patrick Thorman – Pro Football Focus  58.6%
 6.  Sean Morris – Bruno Boys  58.5%
 7.  Justin Boone – theScore  58.4%
 8.  Jake Ciely – RotoExperts  58.4%
 9.  Mike Clay – Pro Football Focus  58.4%
 10  Pat Fitzmaurice – The Football Girl  58.2%

*View Full Accuracy Scores (124 experts) | Combine Top Experts into Consensus Rankings

We’ll be back again next week to provide another update on the experts making the most accurate predictions. Until then, Happy Thanksgiving to everyone!

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