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Fantasy Basketball Buy & Sell: Week 4 (2021)

by Tyler Watts | @tylerpwatts | Featured Writer
Jan 12, 2021

Sell Malcolm Brogdon now for anybody ranked inside the top 40.

COVID issues have had a significant impact on both the NBA and fantasy basketball leagues. It has created both frustration and opportunity for those involved. Games are being canceled, but Tyrese Maxey has become fantasy relevant sooner than anyone anticipated. Managers may have even received two strong games from Dakota Mathias in deep leagues. Keep on your toes, and do not be afraid to take chances on your waiver wire going forward.

Another way to solidify your team is through trades. Do not be afraid to target a player struggling a bit or trade away a hot name for a player with more value for the remainder of the season. Here are five players worth gauging the market on this week.

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Buy

Here are three players to acquire during Week 4.

Buddy Hield (SG – SAC)
Hield currently ranks 132nd on FantasyPros Player Rater, which is significantly below his consensus ADP of 168. The Kings guard is starting and playing a career-high 34.8 minutes per game, so why is he ranked so low.

The jumpers are not falling for Hield early on. He is shooting just 34.8 percent from the field and 33.7 percent on his threes. Hield is a career 40.7 percent shooter from long range. The problem is he is seven for 39 open 3-pointers this season, per NBA Stats. He connected at 40.2 percent on open threes last season. Expect the shots to start falling, and Hield to average over 20 points per game.

Now is the perfect time to buy. His managers are getting frustrated with the lack of production, so swoop in offering a player outside the top 75 and reap the benefits of Hield for the remainder of the season.

LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS – PF/C)
Aldridge finds himself 179th on the Player Rater after missing three of the Spurs’ first ten games with a knee injury. Many were quick to write off the 35-year-old during the draft season, which saw his stock plummet to 53rd in ADP. How quick we forget he finished 42nd on the Player Rater last season.

Some of his managers may be worrying because the minutes are down, and the stats have not been there. He is struggling with his shot plus not getting his normal rebounds and blocks. Aldridge will be fine, though. He played north of 31 minutes in three straight games meaning the production is coming. Expect him to finish as a top 50 player this season.

Buy low on LaMarcus Aldridge. Offer a player outside the top 75 and see if his manager is willing to bite after a slow start. If so, reap the rewards of the upgrade for the remainder of the season.

Jusuf Nurkic (POR – C)
Nurkic was outstanding inside the Walt Disney World bubble. He showed off his fantasy potential and had managers dreaming of him finally unlocking that per-minute potential we loved for years. Nurkic had an ADP of 37 overall but is back to only playing 24.6 minutes per game in the early season.

His playing time has been all over the map because of foul trouble and one-sided games. Through their first nine, the Blazers have only had a single-digit margin three times. Nurkic has played 34, 26, and 28 minutes in those contests. The minutes should trend up and the production will follow.

Fantasy managers are worried, but now is the perfect moment to buy. Offer someone outside the top 50 and grab Nurkic while you can. He is going to produce a monster stat line this season.

Sell

Here are two players to sell during Week 4.

Zach LaVine (CHI – SG/SF)
Can anyone stop Zach LaVine? The 25-year-old is averaging 27.7 points per game on 49.1 percent from the field through 11 games. LaVine seemingly has a monster line every night and is currently second on the Player Rater for the season.

Do not expect it to last long, though. LaVine is taking fewer shots per game than last season and more threes. The field goal percentage is going to drop and managers should expect numbers similar to last season, which saw him finish 25th on the Player Rater.

Now is the moment to sell. Try to get back a top 20 player for Zach LaVine. Aim for a struggling Giannis Antetokounmpo or Devin Booker and reap the rewards as LaVine falls back to earth.

Malcolm Brogdon (IND – PG/SG)
What has gotten into Malcolm Brogdon this season? The 28-year-old is averaging 23.4 points, 7.2 assists, 1.8 steals, and over three 3-pointers made per game so far. He is shooting an unsustainable field goal percentage, but the attempts are up significantly. Could fans be seeing a breakout season from Brogdon?

Bet on no. It has been a hot stretch to start the year, but fantasy managers know what Brogdon provides. He is currently 13th on the Player Rater but sell him now for anybody ranked inside the top 40. Some managers could get a home run move that helps them win their league this season.

View optimal lineups, waiver, and trade suggestions, and league analysis >>

Tyler Watts is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @tylerpwatts.

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