Bryson DeChambeau (+1300) stole the show at Bay Hill and claimed his eighth career PGA Tour title at just 27-years-old. DeChambeau edged out Englishman Lee Westwood by one stroke in some challenging scoring conditions on the final day of the Arnold Palmer Invitational. His week was highlighted by a sensational 370-yard drive on Saturday to clear the water on the Par 5 sixth hole.
Golf fans will be treated to the strongest field of the year this week as the Tour will head to the east coast of Florida for the Players Championship. Forty-eight of the top-50 ranked golfers will tee it up at TPC Sawgrass for a chance to win one of the most illustrious titles in golf. As many of you can recall last year, the 2020 Players Championship was canceled after the first round due to the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.
World number one and 2020 Masters winner Dustin Johnson ($11,200) is the highest-priced golfer on the board. Jon Rahm ($10,900), Rory McIlroy ($10,600), Xander Schauffele ($10,300), and Justin Thomas ($9,900) round out the top-five. Brooks Koepka announced his withdrawal due to a knee strain after finally recovering from a string of injuries and winning the Waste Management Open in February. With an absolutely star-studded field this week, you have all the flexibility in the world with your lineup construction. It appears balanced-builds will be popular with the soft-pricing available on DraftKings.
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Previous Winners
- 2019: Rory McIlroy (-16)
- 2018: Webb Simpson (-18)
- 2017: Si-Woo Kim (-10)
- 2016: Jason Day (-15)
- 2015: Rickie Fowler (-12)
Course Preview
TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, is a classic Pete Dye design that will play as a Par 72 and measures at 7,189 yards long. Largely a second shot course, TPC Sawgrass rewards strong iron play due to the multiple water hazards in play. Big numbers are out there if golfers don’t plot their way around the course meticulously and fail to make the right shot selections. This course featured the ninth-most bogeys and fourth-most double bogeys in 2019. The course runs typically firm and fast, and the players will need to be sharp on these lightning-fast Bermuda putting surfaces.
Relevant Betting Stats
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking
- Par 4 scoring
- Putting on Bermuda greens
Recommended Plays
Justin Thomas ($9,900)
We are getting the number three ranked golfer in the world at a discount this week due to some poor recent form. However, He showed some very positive signs his last time out at the WGC with a T15 finish. This is largely a second-shot course, and approach play has proven to be the most significant stat at this event in determining the winner. Thomas ranked first in strokes gained: approach in 2020 and is still in the top-five this year despite not playing his best golf. If he figures out his driver this week and keeps the ball in the fairway, he should have great success at TPC Sawgrass. Thomas would love to find the winner’s circle after finishing T3 in 2016 and T11 in 2018.
Webb Simpson ($9,600)
TPC Sawgrass is a perfect track for Simpson’s game. He is short but accurate off the tee, has great irons, and is one of the best putters on Bermuda greens. In the last five years, Simpson has a win here, two T16s and a T17. His form has been excellent this year, with four top-10s in just nine events – including his most recent T6 finish at the WGC.
Collin Morikawa ($9,500)
When you combine ball-striking and approach games, there are very few golfers in the world that can match Morikawa in both facets. His most recent win at WGC proved how lethal he can be when he hits almost every fairway, has the best approach numbers, and the putter cooperates. Morikawa picked up a new putting style before his win in Bradenton, and it made a world of difference. He has become perhaps the best iron player in the game over the last two years, ranking first in strokes gained: approach in 2021. His win last season at the PGA Championship proves he can win in the strongest of fields.
Tony Finau ($9,100)
Despite his inability to get the job done and win, Finau is playing amazing golf. In 10 events this year, he already has five top-10s and eight top-25s. He is almost a lock to make the cut and put in a respectable finish for your lineups at a solid price. Finau has also improved each time he’s teed it up for the Players Championship.
Hideki Matsuyama ($8,700)
According to Datagolf.com, Matsuyama has the best course history at this event. He has high finishes of T7, T8, and T17, and T22 his last five times out here. If you can recall, “Deki’ was the first-round leader at this event last year before the postponement of the tournament – opening with a round of nine-under-par. His form has been solid with seven top-25s in 13 events this season.
Adam Scott ($8,100)
This is too soft of a price for Scott and what he has achieved at the Players Championship. In his last five appearances at this event, Scott has finishes of T12, T11, T6, T12, and T38. His recent form has been solid, with eight of eight made cuts this season, including a T10 at the Farmers Insurance Open.
Joaquin Niemann ($7,700)
The Talented golfer from Chile has already had two runner-up finishes in 2021 (Sentry Tournament of Champions, Sony Open). He has played some tremendous golf and is maturing in all facets of his game – including putting. His combination of driving distance and accuracy has him ranked first in ball-striking this season. Fourth in scoring average, third in birdie average, Niemann is a solid bet at a very nice number this week.
Abraham Ancer ($7,500)
I really like this price for Ancer, who fared well at this event in 2019 (T12) and is coming in with some strong form. The Mexican thrives on shorter courses and has a strong track record on Pete Dye designs. He has a fifth at the American Express in January and second at the Masters after 54 holes before falling back to finish T13. Ancer will have no problem finding the fairways at TPC Sawgrass, as he ranks first in driving accuracy this year.
Christian Kirk ($7,000)
While there are many enticing targets in the lower 7k range, including Lee Westwood, Alex Noren, and Branden Grace, Kirk sticks out the most. He has finishes of T8, T16, T16, and T2 in his last five times out. Kirk is playing beautifully tee-to-green and has rediscovered his form after a couple of years of mediocrity.
Check out the FREE betting guide for The Players Championship at BettingPros
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Nic Turner is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Nic, check out his archive and follow him @sportzbandit.
