Monkey Knife Fight Advice: Week 1 (2022 Fantasy Football)
Welcome to Monkey Knife Fight. Monkey Knife Fight is one of the more intriguing entrants in the DFS arena. Instead of the traditional salary cap based contests, Monkey Knife Fight allows DFS players to put their fantasy football knowledge and predictive powers to the test.
They offer fantasy point and stat-based contests. Perhaps the most appealing of all of their offerings is the ‘More or Less’ contests. In these contests, you can choose whether a player will fall above or below totals for a preset combination of two to 10 players. Your win probability obviously goes down with the more players you add, but you receive an increased payout multiplier in exchange.
Since Monkey Knife Fight’s fantasy point and stat-based totals are dynamic, meaning the total, total type, and pairings change throughout the week, it is important to search for favorable and advantageous total pairings to exploit on a daily basis. Ideally, when choosing a total pairing, you want to feel extremely confident on one of the totals and feel strongly enough about the other total to proceed. This week we will take a look at two of the ‘More’ options that stood out the most for Week 1. Note that these are not locked in pairings, and may no longer be offered by the time you log in to make your picks.
If you have yet to sign up for Monkey Knife Fight, be sure to take advantage of the $10 free play they are offering. Simply sign up through this link, and enter the promo code “GET10FREE”, and enjoy your first contest on your friends at FantasyPros and Monkey Knife Fight.
Plays of the week
Tyreek Hill (WR – MIA): 69.5 receiving yards
This is likely the lowest more or less number we will see attached to Tyreek Hill all season, so take advantage. Jalen Mills is a solid slot corner but has little chance of containing Hill all game. Hill is in a new offense with a new quarterback, so the fact that he has averaged 100.5 receiving yards per game against New England over his career has little to do with his projection for this contest. With that said, his proven success against better versions of the Patriots D combined with the creativeness expected from Mike McDaniel’s offense should push him over what looks like a very achievable number. Lock in Tyreek in any more or less combination you feel comfortable with.
Jonathan Taylor (RB – IND): 96.5 rushing yards
Taylor averaged 144 rushing yards against the Houston Texans last season. That’s it. That’s the analysis. In all seriousness, Taylor has been dominant against Houston. For those concerned about Nyiem Hines siphoning snaps, Taylor posted these lines last season: 14 carries for 145 rushing yards on 65 percent of the snaps, 32 carries for 143 rushing yards on 76 percent of the snaps. The Indianapolis Colts should have an easy time with the Texans, and as the largest favorite of the week, there is expected to be a heavy dose of the run. Taylor will not hit 97 rushing yards in every game this season, but his best chances to do so will come against Houston. Lock Taylor in on any more or less you feel comfortable with.
Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN): 77.5 receiving yards
Chase struggled in the yardage department against Pittsburgh last season, averaging a paltry 52 receiving yards per game. However, he managed two touchdowns in the game former number one corner Joe Haden played in. Without a true number one left on the Steelers roster, the Bengals passing game is set to explode. Chase will likely see bracket coverage rolled his way, but there will likely be a focus on getting him the ball on shorter and intermediate routes. Less seems like the sharper play as Tyler Boyd projects to have the easiest cornerback matchup, and Tee Higgins should spend most of the day in single coverage. However, we will be able to say the same thing most weeks. The second year superstar should be more consistent this season and will average well over 77.5 receiving yards per game. This one could go either way, so go with your gut, but if looking for a suggestion, press more.
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