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Most Difficult Fantasy Football Start/Sit Lineup Decisions: Wide Receivers (Week 3)

Most Difficult Fantasy Football Start/Sit Lineup Decisions: Wide Receivers (Week 3)

Start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings, and analysis.

Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players for Week 3 of fantasy football and what the Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) advise.

*Based on Half-PPR Rankings as of Friday

If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

Fantas Football Start-Sit Assistant

Most Difficult Fantasy Football Start/Sit Lineup Decisions: Wide Receivers (Week 3)

Garrett Wilson vs. Elijah Moore (NYJ): 56% of experts chose Wilson

Garrett Wilson: The Wilson breakout happened, and it was beautiful. He saw his target share and route run rate grow from 14% and 56.5% to 33.3% and 76.6% in Week 2. He saw everyone one of Flacco’s end zone targets last week (three). He posted a stellar 2.83 yards per route run with a 39% target per route run rate. He ran nearly 50% of his routes from the slot while leading the team in slot routes. This means he’ll get a heaping dose of Mike Hilton this week. Hilton has allowed a 64.3% catch rate and 76.8 passer rating. This is a small sample variance, as Hilton isn’t a matchup to worry about. Last year he gave up a 69.7% catch rate and 95.1 passer rating in coverage. Wilson is a WR3 with WR2 upside.

Elijah Moore: Moore has been the Jets’ only full-time receiver all year. Last week he led the team with a 93.6% route run rate. The problem is that he hasn’t been productive. Moore has a 12.1% target share with 16.6% of the team’s air yards. His efficiency metrics have been poor so far, with 0.91 yards per route run and a 12% target per route rate. With Moore running about 72% of his routes on the perimeter, he’ll tangle with Eli Apple and Chidobe Awuzie. Apple is a good matchup for any wide receiver with a 58.7% catch rate and 106.5 passer rating allowed. Awuzie, on the other hand, is tough with a 44.4% catch rate and 54.4 passer rating in coverage. Awuzie hasn’t shadowed this year, but that doesn’t mean he can’t. He shadowed six times last season, following receivers on 59-78% of routes. Only Davante Adams and A.J. Brown surpassed 50 receiving yards in his shadow coverage. Moore is a WR4 for Week 3.

Drake London (ATL) vs. Terry McLaurin (WAS): 56% of experts chose London

Drake London: London proving he’s the guy from day one. Things you love to see. London has a 33.3% target share (fifth-highest) while also rocking a 41.3% target per route rate (third-best). He’s the sixth-highest graded wide receiver per PFF, ranking 12th in yards per route run (minimum ten targets). These are alpha numbers. London will run about 85% of his routes against Michael Jackson and Tariq Woolen. Jackson has allowed a 50% catch rate and 62.5 passer rating. Woolen has permitted a 42.9% catch rate and 59.8 passer rating. London is a top 30 wide receiver play this week.

Terry McLaurin: McLaurin falls into WR3 territory. The matchup is brutal this week, and his usage thus far hasn’t been in line with a consistent WR2 threat. He’s only seen a 14.1% target share (63rd) and a 13.6% target per route run rate (84th). His talent is still present, but his numbers haven’t reflected it, and it’s doubtful that happens in Week 3, running about 81% of his routes against Darius Slay and James Bradberry. Slay has been electric, allowing only a 29.4% catch rate and 25.2 passer rating. Bradberry, in this zone-heavy scheme, has been an All-Pro with only a 36.4% catch rate and 7.0 passer rating yielded.


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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

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