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Fantasy Baseball Buy High/Sell Low: Nolan Arenado, Christian Yelich, Brandon Lowe

Fantasy Baseball Buy High/Sell Low: Nolan Arenado, Christian Yelich, Brandon Lowe

We have made it through another week of the season, and we have some early results to overreact to possibly., The early results give us a set of players to Buy High or Sell Low based on their weekly performances. Based on their recent performances and a full-season outlook, I will break down some players to buy or sell in the coming weeks. Some are just hot streaks, and some are worth buying into, so we are here to help make the right decisions for your fantasy teams. Let’s look at a handful of players you should buy high or sell low after Week 7.

Buy High

Nolan Arenado (3B – STL)

After a horrible start to the season, Arenado hit safely in all five games last week. He hit a home run in each of the final three games of the week, with a total of eight RBI on the week. Arenado’s quality of contact was back as he barreled the ball 22% of the time with a 50% hard-hit rate. It appears Arenado has awoken from his hitting slumber.

It may have been a slow start to the season, but there is still plenty of time for Arenado to get going. The rest of season projections have Arenado hitting .260 with 21 home runs and 70 RBI, which will play quite well. Arenado even went deep on Monday night to keep the power train rolling. However, the window to buy Arenado may be closing, so go and trade for him while you can.

Christian Yelich (OF – MIL)

Yelich hit safely in five of six games this past week, as he has a solid season. Yelich hit .400 last week with three home runs, nine RBI, and three stolen bases. He barreled the ball 25% of the time with a 75% hard-hit rate.

Through 39 games, Yelich is hitting .262 with seven home runs and nine RBI. He has a 9.2% barrel rate and on the season with a near 58% hard-hit rate. That’s the best hard-hit rate in Yelich’s career and the best barrel rate since 2020. Yelich may never be that MVP again, but a 25/25 season could be in store and is worth trading for if he’s on the block.

Luis Robert (OF – CWS)

When healthy, we always knew Robert was a very talented offensive player. This past week, Robert hit safely in six of seven games for a .346 batting average. He hit four home runs and two doubles with a 26.3% barrel rate and 52.6% hard-hit rate.

Robert is hitting .275 on the season with 11 home runs and a stolen base. He will not run often, but the power and batting average skills are legit. The BAT X projects Robert to hit .291 the rest of the season with 20 home runs and 12 stolen bases. That would make for a tremendous final 4.5 months, as long as Robert can stay healthy.

Mitch Keller (SP – PIT)

Keller is coming off an outstanding 2-start week where he threw 16 shutout innings with 21 strikeouts. He only allowed one walk with a 35.1% K-BB. Keller now has a 2.38 ERA and 3.11 xFIP with an excellent 24% K-BB. He is a changed man on the mound, and the adjustments Keller has made are legit. Buy in now while some may expect Keller to return to earth.

Nathan Eovaldi (SP – TEX)

Eovaldi was outstanding in his lone start this past week, where he threw 8.2 shutout innings in Oakland with 12 strikeouts. Eovaldi has not allowed a run in his last three starts while pitching 25.2 innings and racking up 25 strikeouts. He has a 2.70 ERA and 2.95 xFIP with a 23.3% K-BB. While Eovaldi is healthy, he should continue to provide fantasy goodness. Let’s just hope he stays healthy.

Sell Low

Trent Grisham (OF – SD)

Last week Grisham collected two hits while scoring one run and hitting .118. He struck out 31.6% of the time with a .387 OPS. Grisham is hitting .206 on the season with four home runs and a 29.2% strikeout rate. He is barreling the ball 14.9% of the time, which is nice, but his 36.8% hard-hit rate could be more desirable. Grisham continues to struggle and there are no signs of improvement. It’s time to move on.

Brandon Lowe (2B – TB)

Lowe collected two singles last week, hitting .105 with a 20% walk and 20% strikeout rate. He barreled the ball 6.7% of the time with a 33.3% hard-hit rate as Lowe struggled at the plate. Lowe is now hitting .189 on the season with seven home runs, one stolen base, and a 29.1% strikeout rate. Lowe will provide occasional power, but that’s about it, and it is challenging to roster in a daily format.

Josh Bell (1B – CLE)

Bell collected four singles last week for a .200 batting average and a .000 ISO. He did walk 20% of the time while also striking out 20% of the time. Bell also collected zero barrels as he continued to struggle. Bell is hitting .223 on the season with three home runs and a .692 OPS. First base belongs to Josh Naylor now, and I do not see that changing soon.

Roansy Contreras (SP – PIT)

Contreras threw seven innings in his start last week, allowing two runs while only striking out one. The start looked decent, but digging in, Contreras had a 7.05 xFIP and 0% K-BB. Contreras now owns a 4.40 ERA, 5.38 xFIP, and 6.2% K-BB as he struggles. Contreras has looked worse and worse each start, and a trip down to Triple-A could be in order.

Corey Kluber (SP – BOS)

Kluber threw five innings in his start last week while allowing five runs and striking out six. He had an 8% K-BB as he was not fooling anyone. Unfortunately, that has been a trend for Kluber as he has a 6.41 ERA, 5.49 xFIP, and a 10.1% K-BB. Kluber is pitching to too much contact, and the results will only worsen for Kluber.

CTAs


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