Here at FantasyPros, we collate many of the industry’s top player rankings into the Expert Consensus Rankings to give you the best idea of how the entire industry sees each player. Using the ECR we can filter to compare against ADP letting us see who the ECR is higher or lower than the market on. With Best Ball a game that year in and year out rewards the rosters that scoop value through drafts, this is an excellent exercise at this time of year.
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Here are players the experts like less than Best Ball ADP.
Players the Experts Like Less Than ADP
The expert consensus rankings are a little more pessimistic about George Kittle than the best ball market is and there are good reasons for it. Kittle scored 11 touchdowns in 2022 but it was the first time in his career he’d managed more than seven and in the games where Kittle didn’t score touchdowns he averaged 4.9 half PPR points. Those kinds of performances are brutal when you invest high draft capital in a player and if it wasn’t for Kittle dominating against the Cardinals and Seahawks, who he combined to score six touchdowns against in three games, then Kittle’s season would be looked at very differently.
The Lions had been telegraphing how they feel about D’Andre Swift for a while before they eventually moved on from him during the draft. It says plenty about Swift that nobody in the league was willing to pay more than the 2025 fourth-round pick the Eagles gave up. Swift might be part of a potent offense, but he’ll see fewer targets in the Eagles’ offense and will still be part of a committee.
Currently, best ball drafters are being swept up in the idea that simply because Irv Smith Jr. is the only tight end of note on the Bengals roster and as such he’ll be productive but there’s also good reason to believe he might not be. Smith Jr. has shown next to nothing in the NFL and has never been able to earn targets in an offense, ranking 58th in targets per route run in 2019 and 59th in 2020. In 2022 Joe Burrow targeted tight ends 94 times, which was the ninth-lowest amount of any offense in the league. Hayden Hurst averaged 7.1 PPR points in games without a touchdown and had only two touchdowns all season. Two-thirds of Hurst’s games resulted in single-digit fantasy returns and it requires quite the leap to imagine Irv Smith Jr. doing any better than this.
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