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    FantasyPros Staff | Fri, Aug 11th 2023, 3:32am EDT

Fantasy Football Draft Sleepers: Ryan Tannehill & Nico Collins (2023)

Thankfully the 2023 fantasy football season is just around the corner. Each year fantasy players want to construct their team with a proper mix of good-value players and upside sleepers while avoiding players with high bust potential.

In the third part of an eight-part series, I will identify two ADP values, two likely-to-bust candidates, and two potential sleepers from the AFC South.

Fantasy Football Sleepers: AFC South

ADP via FantasyPros

Sleepers to Target

Nico Collins (HOU): ADP 161.3 | WR58

Houston traded away Brandin Cooks in the offseason, creating an open competition for the No. 1 wide receiver role. Despite signing veterans Robert Woods and Noah Brown in the offseason, there are three potential candidates to fill that role this season – Collins, John Metchie III, and Tank Dell. All three have positive reports over the past few months. However, Collins has a leg up on the other two. Last year the former Michigan star was the WR78, averaging only 7.9 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Yet, he was the WR48 on a points-per-game basis last season, averaging only 0.5 fewer fantasy points per game than Drake London.

Furthermore, Collins was a top-48 wide receiver on a points-per-game basis despite finishing third on the team in targets. Thankfully, the two guys ahead of him are no longer on the team. Meanwhile, the two veterans the Texans added each averaged under 5.9 fantasy points per game last season. Neither is a threat to Collins. More importantly, the third-year receiver got a significant upgrade at quarterback, going from Davis Mills to C.J. Stroud. Despite Mills ranking 43rd in catchable pass rate, Collins was second in contested catch rate among wide receivers. The former Michigan star is an under-the-radar third-year breakout candidate and should have a top 140 ADP.

Ryan Tannehill (TEN): ADP 200.3 | QB31

Fantasy players in 1QB leagues likely won’t need to consider Tannehill in their draft unless it’s a 16 or 18-team league. Yet, he should have some value as a streaming option in 1QB leagues this season. The veteran was the QB26 last year, averaging only 13.4 fantasy points per game, his lowest average since joining the Titans. Unfortunately, he did miss five games with injuries after not missing a game over the past two years with an injury. More importantly, Tennessee finished bottom five in pass attempts, yards, and touchdowns last season. However, that likely won’t be the case in 2023.

Last year Tannehill’s top two targeted players were Robert Woods and Austin Hooper. Thankfully, Treylon Burks and Chigoziem Okonkwo are light years ahead of where they were last season as rookies. More importantly, the Titans added DeAndre Hopkins after he was the WR10 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 13.3 half-point PPR fantasy points per contest last year. Remember, the veteran was the QB7 in 2020, supporting two top-32 wide receivers, including a top-12 one, while Derrick Henry was the RB2. While he likely won’t end the year as a QB1, Tannehill has high-end QB2 upside and is one of my favorite quarterback sleepers in superflex leagues.

More Players to Target & Avoid

Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.

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