Thankfully the 2023 fantasy football season is just around the corner. Each year fantasy players want to construct their team with a proper mix of good-value players and upside sleepers while avoiding players with high bust potential. Let’s take a look at a few draft values.
- AFC ADP Sleepers, Busts & Values: East | North | South
- Draft Targets for Every Round: Early | Middle | Late
- Fitz’s Draft Primers: QB | RB | WR | TE
- 2023 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
Fantasy Football ADP Values: AFC West
ADP Values
Travis Kelce (TE – KC): ADP 5.7 | TE1
Many have discussed if Kelce is worthy of the 1.01 pick this offseason. I dove into the topic and came away with the opinion that the superstar is worthy of a top-five pick but not the 1.01 selection. The future Hall of Famer scores like a top-10 wide receiver or running back every year, using finishing close to the top five. More importantly, Kelce has been the TE1 for four of the past five years.
Last season he was the TE1, averaging 15.4 half-point points per reception (PPR) fantasy points per game. The superstar averaged four more fantasy points per game than any other tight end.
Kelce is prime for another superstar season in 2023. The Chiefs lost JuJu Smith-Schuster in free agency after the veteran finished second on the team in targets last year. While Kansas City has three young wide receivers they have high hopes for, Kelce will again be the focal point of the passing attack. Furthermore, the veteran will be Patrick Mahomes‘ go-to target in the red zone.
Last year the superstar had 30 red zone targets, the most in the NFL. Kelce is all but a lock to finish the year as the TE1.
Keenan Allen (WR – LAC): ADP 45.3 | WR19
Last year was frustrating for Allen and his fantasy players. The veteran wide receiver missed seven games and left others early because of a nagging hamstring injury. However, he was the WR11 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 13.1 fantasy points per contest. Furthermore, last season was the sixth consecutive year that Allen averaged over 12.7 fantasy points per game.
More importantly, the star wide receiver was outstanding once he recovered from the hamstring injury.
The veteran wide receiver only played two games over the first 10 weeks last season, totaling six targets and 10.7 fantasy points. However, Allen was excellent once he got over the hamstring injury. Starting in Week 11, the veteran was the WR4 for the rest of the year, averaging 15 fantasy points per game. He would have been the WR6 over a 17-game pace with that fantasy points per game average last season.
While the Chargers drafted Quentin Johnston, the rookie will mostly impact Mike Williams‘ target share, not Allen’s. Therefore, the veteran is a steal as a late fourth-round pick.
More Players to Target & Avoid
- Pat Fitzmaurice: (Targets | Avoids) (Premium)
- Andrew Erickson: (Targets | Avoids) (Premium)
- Derek Brown: (Targets | Avoids) (Premium)
- Fantasy Football Sleepers for Every Team (Premium)
- How to Identify Fantasy Football Busts (Premium)
- Erickson’s Guide to Drafting Players on Good Offenses
- Fantasy Football Draft Values for Every Round
- Predicting First-Round Bust Candidates
- DBro’s Wide Receiver Lottery Tickets
- Erickson’s Running Back Lottery Tickets
- Players to Target in Each Round (v2 | v3)
- Players to Avoid in Each Round
- Late-Round Draft Targets
- Late-Round QB Targets in Superflex Leagues | More QB Sleepers
- Late-Round RB Targets | More RB Sleepers | July RB Targets
- Late-Round WR Targets
- Late-Round TE Targets
- How to Identify Fantasy Football Busts
- How to Identify Fantasy Football Busts (v2)| How to Identify Fantasy Football Busts | How to Identify Fantasy Football Busts
- How to Identify Fantasy Football Busts | How to Identify Fantasy Football Busts
- How to Identify Fantasy Football Busts
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.

