After Week 1, everyone tells you not to overreact. It’s only one week, but by the time Week 2 is finished, we’re 11% of the way through the fantasy season, and it’s time to start being reactionary and noticing what the league is telling us.
Each week, we look at the safest and riskiest starts to help you get ready for all the action. Here are all of our risky and safe picks for the week. And below we dive into a few start/sit decisions on notable players.
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
- Waiver Wire Picks
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Trade Tools
Risky & Safe Fantasy Football Starts: Week 3
Nico Collins (WR – HOU) vs Jaguars
There are four wide receivers who boast over 275 air yards to date: Tyreek Hill (361), Kendrick Bourne (314), Justin Jefferson (293) and Nico Collins with 287, who is also the PPR WR6. Collins is being used all over the field, and CJ Stroud has locked onto Collins with a team-leading 23.3% target share. The Texans face a Jaguars defense that isn’t particularly imposing so far, allowing the 12th-most yardage to opposing wide receivers. With the Texans’ offensive line still banged up, Stroud will need to get the ball out to the players he trusts quickly.
Texans WR Nico Collins has a special connection with rookie QB CJ Stroud.
Collins dominated the middle of the field Week-2. There is a trust factor there with Stroud.
I’m feeling a big breakout incoming. pic.twitter.com/GsPZhPOmUJ
— Brett Whitefield (@BGWhitefield) September 19, 2023
Brian Robinson (RB – WAS) vs Bills
This offseason, it felt clear that the Commanders would operate a two-running back committee, utilizing Brian Robinson as the ground-and-pound runner while letting Antonio Gibson get back to concentrating on a skill he dominated coming out of college: pass-catching. Instead, what has materialized is that Robinson is seeing the ninth-largest opportunity share among running backs (75%) and has turned it into RB3 overall production, with 42.5 PPR points. The Bills might not be an ideal matchup for the Commanders, but to date, they’ve allowed 5.0 yards per carry to running backs, and Robinson’s usage has been consistently strong. Right now, we can consider him an every-week starter.
Kenneth Walker (RB – SEA) vs Panthers
If the Seahawks were planning on phasing Kenneth Walker out, they certainly haven’t looked like it so far, giving Walker a combined 34 touches in the first two weeks. The Seahawks play the Panthers in Week 3 and are allowing running backs to rush for 5.2 yards per carry, which is the sixth-highest amount in the league. Bryce Young and the Panthers are a team finding their feet and likely won’t be able to threaten the Seahawks in the same way the Detroit Lions did a week ago. Walker projects to have a very favorable script in this game and could be one of the best plays of the week.
RB Leaders in Missed Tackles Forced per Touch
+ Per @FantasyPtsData
1. Jaylen Warren (0.61) 🔥
2. Nick Chubb (0.52) 😭
3. Breece Hall (0.47)
4. Kenneth Walker (0.44)
4. Bijan Robinson (0.44)
6. Jahmyr Gibbs (0.39)
— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) September 19, 2023