It’s time for weekly bold predictions. The point here is that if you follow the consensus, you’re probably going to have a good team. But in order to go from good to great, you have to take some chances. You have to do your homework and figure out where you can zig when the rest of your league (or at least your opponent this week) zags. In short, you need to know how and when to be bold.
We asked our analysts to provide a bold prediction for Week 13. Their answers and justifications are below.
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Q: What is one bold fantasy prediction (player-related) for the upcoming week, and why could it happen?
“Zack Moss, despite a somewhat tough matchup against a good Tennessee Titans run defense, smashes and finishes as a top-5 RB this week. Let’s not forget how good Moss was early in the season when Jonathan Taylor was on the IR. He produced 20.70, 25.50, and 36.50 fantasy points in full PPR in 3 of his 4 games as the lead back. Almost all of those were tough matchups, too, including this Titans defense. That was when he actually had his best game. The scheme, role, and usage are simply too good, and if he gets a massive share again, he should be great.”
– Robert Norton (Last Word On Sports)
“Zach Moss will be a top 5 running back this week! Jonathan Taylor is out 2-3 weeks, and when Taylor has been out of the lineup, Moss has excelled! In the first four weeks of the season without Taylor, Zach Moss averaged 22 carries/game for an amazing 111 yards/game! He topped that off with 5 touchdowns! Tennessee’s run defense has been struggling since their last games vs the Colts (10/8), allowing 125 yards/game, which should lead to a huge game for Zach Moss this weekend!”
– Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)
“Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren are both top-10 running backs in Week 13. The Pittsburgh Steelers face the Arizona Cardinals, who have given up the second-most half-point PPR fantasy points per game (26.2), the second-most rushing touchdowns (12), the most receiving touchdowns (six), and the second-most rushing yards (1,445) to running backs this season. Last week, Kyren Williams and Royce Freeman were both top-15 running backs against Arizona despite Matthew Stafford having four passing touchdowns. More importantly, Harris and Warren were both top-10 running backs in Week 10 against a half-decent Green Bay Packers defense. Expect the Steelers to destroy the Cardinals’ awful run defense on Sunday.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
“Najee Harris will finish as a top-12 RB in Week 13. After weeks of struggling to maintain his role over Jaylen Warren, it appears Najee is once again the guy in Pittsburgh. Matt Canada is no longer calling the plays, and for the first time in two years, the Steeler’s offense didn’t look terrible. This week, he gets a matchup with the Arizona Cardinals, who are allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing running backs at 26.2 fantasy points per game. Look for Harris to not only finish in the top 12 but also score a touchdown and crack 100 total yards.”
– Aaron St Denis (The League Winners)
“Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris combine for 200+ rushing yards and three touchdowns against the Cardinals. The Pittsburgh running game is red-hot. Over their first seven games, the Steelers averaged 79.7 rushing yards. Over their last four games, they’ve averaged 174.0 rushing yards. The Steelers will be at home this week against a pillow-soft Arizona run defense that gave up 143 rushing yards to Kyren Williams last week and 112 rushing yards and a touchdown to Devin Singletary the week before. Warren and Harris are both going to eat this week.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)
“Tua Tagovailoa finishes as the QB1. The Washington Commanders absolutely STINK defensively, and this week sees the Miami Dolphins offense come to town. Oh. Brother. Tua and company are about to have an absolute field day against the Commanders, who allow the most points to the quarterback position this season. Oh, and they just sacked their defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio after being embarrassed on Thanksgiving in Dallas. Tua is going to have a humongous day in this one, throwing for over 350 yards with 4 touchdown passes to be the QB1 in Week 13 as the Dolphins win big in Washington.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)
“Malik Cunningham takes over at QB for the Patriots and injects some excitement into a lifeless New England offense. Last week on “The Bold and the Beautiful Fantasy Predictions,” Mark Ringo said that Mac Jones had a confidence problem and that Will Grier would take over at QB. I know what you’re thinking, (Ringo you blockhead!), but the definition of insanity is trying the same thing over and over and expecting different results. Bailey Zappe hasn’t fared much better than Mac, so if Zappe struggles again, don’t be surprised if Bill Belichick goes with Malik Cunningham over Mac Jones in New England. Here’s a fun fact: the all-time TD leader at the University of Louisville isn’t Lamar Jackson. It’s Malik Cunningham. ”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)
“The Steelers will score 24+ points on offense versus the Cardinals. In last week’s bold prediction article, I BOLDY claimed the Steelers would break their 45-game streak of games with fewer than 400 yards. They did. And somehow, my Steelers bet over 17.5 points didn’t cash. YHTSI. But the Cardinals’ defense is HOT garbage – 31st in points allowed per game at 27. We have been waiting for the breakout game with Kenny Pickett in Week 13. Here it comes. Not 1, not 2. But 3 passing TDs for Pickett against Arizona. ”
– Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)
“Curtis Samuel posts another 100 yards receiving and a score in Week 13. Since Week 8, Miami has the sixth-highest rate of zone coverage in the NFL (81.2%). In the nine games this season in which Samuel has played his usual snap amount, he has had a 13.9% target share, 1.62 YPRR, and a 17.5% first-read share against zone (per Fantasy Points Data). Miami has allowed the seventh-most receiving touchdowns (tied) and the 12th-highest passer rating to slot receivers this season. Samuel will run about 73% of his routes against Kader Kohou (84.6% catch rate and 129.8 passer rating). Samuel will lead the Commanders in receiving production this week. ”
– Derek Brown (FantasyPros)
If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.