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Overvalued Fantasy Football Players: Kyren Williams, George Kittle, Nick Chubb (2024)

It’s important to identify overpriced players as you prepare to make picks in your fantasy football leagues. However, these overvalued assets can vary depending on the commissioner site you use for your fantasy football draft. We’ll have you covered this fantasy football draft season as we’ll explore the fantasy football draft values and players overvalued for each specific fantasy football commissioner site. Here are five value players to target on Fantrax. Today we explored overvalued players to avoid on Fantrax.

2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

Overpriced Fantasy Football Players to Avoid: Fantrax Leagues

With the 2024-2025 NFL season slowly approaching, depth charts and average draft 0ositions (ADP) are starting to crystalize. While every draft is unpredictable, trends and groupthink can lead to similar-looking ADP across various platforms.

That makes gaining an edge in fantasy drafts more difficult. It’s not impossible, though, and we’re here to help. Here are some overpriced players to avoid on Fantrax.

Kyren Williams (RB – LAR): ADP 19.01 | ECR 28

Last season, Rams running back Kyren Williams averaged 21.3 PPR points per game (No. 2 in the NFL) and ended the year on an absolute tear. Williams led many to fantasy championships after scoring 24.5, 16.4 and 30.1 PPR points in Weeks 15-17.

Unfortunately, last season doesn’t always roll into this season. Since that amazing finish, several red flags have popped up in Williams’ profile. First, the Rams used the N0. 83 overall draft pick on Michigan running back Blake Corum. Using a third-round pick on a running back isn’t a major investment at the position, but it’s more competition than the Rams’ backfield could offer a year ago.

That’s not too concerning on the surface, but it is when you couple that with an ongoing foot injury that will leave Williams sidelined throughout the off-season program. You can’t help but question whether the Rams will give their RB1 nearly the same usage as last season. I’m still in on Williams this season but I’m much more comfortable in round three than in round two.

George Kittle (TE – SF): ADP 70.87 | ECR 86

49ers tight end George Kittle is a top-three talent at the tight end position and one of the safest picks you can make every season. Unfortunately, some of Kittle’s best on-field work doesn’t help us on the fantasy football gridiron and his upside is capped by the talented skill-position players surrounding him.

Despite sharing targets with Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel last season, Kittle still finished as the TE6 in fantasy points per game. That’s nothing to scoff at and I’d expect more of the same this upcoming season, but you have to consider the opportunity cost in play here. Would you rather use a late fifth-round pick on Kittle and his 12.7 points per game (PPG) or draft one later while you load up at other positions?

Nick Chubb (RB – CLE): ADP 79.73 | ECR 104

I’ve never wanted to be wrong about anything as much as I do about this take, but I’m not touching Browns running Nick Chubb this season. I hope he proves me wrong and bounces back from his multi-ligament knee injury, but I am lower than Fantrax and the expert consensus rankings (ECR) on Chubb’s potential this season.

At the very least, Chubb is likely to begin the season on the PUP (physically unable to perform) list, which will sideline him for (at minimum) the first four games of this season. Knowing what we know about Chubb’s injury, a return for the back half of the season would be a more likely outcome.

Chubb’s injury was so severe he needed two separate surgeries on his knee. First, doctors repaired Chubb’s meniscus and MCL in the days after his initial injury. Then in November, doctors went back in and repaired his ACL. There’s no reason for a player recovering from that injury to have an ADP in the late 70s. Even if Fantrax’s ADP includes older drafts, let me go on the record and say Chubb’s current ECR of 104 is also egregious and not indicative of his current value.

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