Sleepers outside the top 300 in average draft position (ADP) is my favorite pre-draft topic in all of fantasy baseball. Most casuals can tell you who is a good pick in the 12th round or even the 15th, but it’s those diehards who play in 16-team leagues that draft over 400 players where my interest lies.
After the top 300 are off the board, I tend to search for potential breakouts or players who possess some illicit value under their current circumstances. Those are the guys I target rather than the depth pieces who could finish with decent marks but in no way move the needle. There are also a few value players who may stand out in one single category.
There likely won’t be any five-category studs left other than perhaps one, but there are still plenty of diamonds in the rough that could make a significant difference in your season. Who will be this year’s Seth Lugo or Jackson Merrill? Stay tuned to find out. Here are my top targets for players beyond the top 300 in fantasy baseball ADP.
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Late-Round Fantasy Baseball Sleeper Targets
Chris Martin (RP – TEX) | 355 ADP
Is 38-year-old Chris Martin the closer for the Texas Rangers? As of right now, it seems that way. If he can stay healthy to begin the season, there’s no reason to think Martin can’t snag at least 10 saves over the first two months.
There’s always the chance the Rangers add someone before Opening Day or trade for someone else to close, but as of now, Martin should be the man in Arlington. He’s worth a late-round selection in most leagues.
Masataka Yoshida (OF – BOS) | 343 ADP
Masataka Yoshida is also someone worth targeting. The Red Sox designated hitter won’t get you many home runs and he’ll be lucky to steal five bags, but a .290 average with 80 RBI and 75 runs are well within range. The Japanese native is likely to bat fifth this season, penciled in behind some of the best on-base percentage (OBP) players in the game.
Between Triston Casas, Alex Bregman and Rafael Devers, Yoshida should have more than an ample amount of RBI chances. Injuries cut the 31-year-old’s season short last year, but over 378 at-bats, he drove in 56 and constructed a .280 average. His expert consensus ranking (ECR) is well above his ADP, so I’m not the only one who likes him. Search out Yoshida’s services before 330 overall.
The next two players are somewhat of a reach, but past pick 300, there is practically no risk and all reward.
Deyvison De Los Santos (1B, 3B – MIA) | 381 ADP
Any time a player hits 40 home runs in the upper Minors he is worth monitoring. The future Marlins first baseman not only hit 40 bombs last year, but he did it while playing for three different organizations.
The 21-year-old Dominican Deyvison De Los Santos is likely going to start the season in the Minors, but with Matt Mervis and Jonah Bride penciled in as Miami’s starting designed hitter and first baseman, it shouldn’t be long until the mashing De Los Santos gets his chance. He drove in 120 runs across 137 games last season and could be the Marlins’ most productive run producer before long. He’s worth stashing past pick 300.
Jhonkensy Noel (OF – CLE) | 345 ADP
Jhonkensy Noel possesses a similar skillset to De Los Santos, albeit he’s already reached the Major Leagues. Able to go yard with the best of them, Noel mashed 13 homers in just 179 at-bats last year.
Noel will likely have to platoon with Will Brennan to start the year, but for those of you who play in leagues that allow for daily lineup changes, Noel could be the perfect complement to a high batting average/speed-heavy fantasy squad. Scouts expect Noel to further improve in his sophomore season, so a home run per every four starts is within reason.
Honorable Mentions
- Jeimer Candelario (1B, 3B, DH – CIN): A bounce-back candidate after suffering a hand injury last season.
- Nolan Schanuel (1B – LAA): Should be in store for a big second year in RBI and batting average.
- Dustin May (SP – LAD): Innings might be limited but could dominate.
- Joc Pederson (OF, DH – TEX): Should be a masher in Texas in daily leagues.
- Shane Bieber (SP – CLE): Should start 15-20, making him worth stashing, even with innings limitations.
- Wilyer Abreu (OF – BOS): A decent five-category target.
- Justin Verlander (SP – SF): Could be good in Oracle Park.
- Otto Lopez (2B, SS – MIA): Target him for steals and batting average.
- Luisangel Acuna (SS – NYM): Had an impressive Winter League; has upside like his brother Ronald Acuna.
- Jonah Bride (1B, 3B – MIA): Not a great option but should hit cleanup and capped his season with a 480-foot homer last year. Put up nice Minor League numbers.
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Austin Lowell is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Austin, check out his archive.