Fantasy baseball is a marathon, not a sprint. Unlike other fantasy sports, the season is long and drags as the weeks roll on. However, because it is such a grind, fantasy managers can lose focus on what’s important, allowing astute fantasy managers to take advantage.
We are very early in the season when people will make bad decisions in terms of trades because of the small samples. Hot streaks and cold streaks can scare your competition. Sometimes underlying numbers aren’t showing up in the surface numbers quite yet. If someone in your league is ready to overreact, take advantage of their impatience. Here are some players I would try and buy low and sell high on at this point in the season. Use our fantasy baseball trade analyzer to help with values.
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Sell High
Andrew Heaney has been great in two starts, throwing 12 innings with a 1.50 ERA and a 25.5% strikeout rate. I have been a big Heaney believer in the past, but the struggles with his command and health have been occurring throughout his career.
This is a good park for him to pitch in, so there is some protection against home runs, but he is also on a bad team that won’t give him many chances to win.
Mitchell Parker has been great in his first two starts, throwing 12.1 innings with a 0.73 ERA. The problem is he has been really lucky.
Parker’s strikeout rate is low, his walk rate is high and he is getting lucky in his BABIP and strand rate. Parker can be a decent MLB starter, but there is some regression coming fast.
Jacob Wilson can hit. He may have one of the best hit tools in the Majors. However, he doesn’t have much else. He already has two home runs, and I would be surprised if he got to double digits by the end of the season.
Wilson has never stolen more than four bases in a season in the Minor Leagues, so he probably won’t deliver anything but a very good average.
Logan O’Hoppe has talent, so there is reason to like him, but he has been on an absolute tear that is unsustainable. His .375 BABIP is 0.75 points too high, and he is striking out at a 37% rate.
O’Hoppe is making below league average contact and while I believe he has power, his HR/FB rate is way too high. This doesn’t even mention his bad injury history. Now is a pretty good time to sell.
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