Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 7:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel and has 13 games. The suggested pick ’em choices from Sleeper and Underdog are from the 13-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Nick Pivetta (SD) vs. PIT
Pivetta is pitching well in his first season with the Padres. According to FanGraphs, he has had the following stats in 10 starts spanning 56.1 innings this year.
- 2.72 ERA
- 3.81 xERA
- 3.59 xFIP
- 3.39 SIERA
- 1.01 WHIP
- Five wins
- Six quality starts
- 8.1 BB%
- 28.3 K%
- 11.3 SwStr%
- 28.0 CSW%
- 95 stuff+
- 112 location+
- 107 pitching+
Pivetta has outkicked his ERA estimators, but those are also rock-solid.
He should continue to succeed in a plus matchup tonight. The Pirates are 29th in wRC+ (82) with a 21.7 K% versus righties and 29th in wRC+ (72) with a 23.6 K% on the road in 2025. Thus, the Padres are -200, and the game’s total is 7.5 runs.
David Peterson (NYM) vs. COL
David Peterson enjoys the pitcher-friendly confines of Citi Field. In 82.1 innings at home since last season, he’s had a 3.17 ERA, 3.49 xFIP, 1.37 WHIP, 8.7 BB% and 22.7 K%. The lefty is also in good form, with a 2.35 ERA, 3.96 xFIP, 4.06 SIERA, 1.14 WHIP, 10.2 BB% and 20.3 K% in his previous five starts, totaling 30.2 innings.
Peterson has a mouthwatering matchup tonight. The Rockies are 30th in wRC+ (54) with a 28.1 K% versus lefties and 30th in wRC+ (56) with a 28.3 K% on the road this season. So, the Mets are commanding -360 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Kyle Harrison (SF) at MIA
Kyle Harrison has done well working out of San Francisco’s bullpen and making a spot start. In five appearances (one start) lasting 9.1 innings, Harrison has had a 3.86 ERA, 4.73 xERA, 3.05 xFIP, 2.99 SIERA, 1.07 WHIP, 7.9 BB% and 28.9 K%. Moreover, Harrison has a 15.7 SwStr%, 32.1 CSW%, 97 stuff+, 122 location+ and 115 pitching+. His plate discipline and pitch-modeling numbers are pristine.
Harrison has a favorable matchup and quality betting info tonight. The Marlins are 16th in wRC+ (85) with a 20.4 K% versus lefties and 21st in wRC+ (95) with a 21.7 K% at home this year. As a result, the Giants are -180, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs. Finally, Harrison should have closer to a full workload tonight after throwing a season-high 57 pitches in his only start on May 24. He’s an unappealing option on FanDuel but a nifty GPP pick as an SP2 at DraftKings.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Renovated Oriole Park at Camden Yards has been a scoring wonderland. According to Baseball Savant, it’s tied for the highest park factor for runs (130) and first for homers (175) this season. The Orioles have a matchup against an overachieving young hurler. Sean Burke‘s 4.33 ERA in 11 appearances (10 starts) has significantly outpaced his 5.93 xERA, 5.54 xFIP, 5.36 SIERA and 1.46 WHIP. Furthermore, he’s allowed a .320 wOBA to lefties and a .330 wOBA to righties since reaching The Show last season, making him an appealing matchup for Baltimore’s lefties, righties and switch-hitters.
- Home (Citi Field)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 8.0 Runs/NYM -360
Kyle Freeland isn’t just a victim of pitching his home games at Coors Field. Instead, he’s had a 5.40 ERA, 3.99 xFIP and 1.42 WHIP in 88.1 innings on the road since last year. Freeland has coughed up 1.53 HR/9 and a .352 wOBA on the road since 2024. The southpaw is also lousy against lefties and righties, serving up a .356 wOBA to 132 left-handed batters and a .361 wOBA to right-handed batters since last season. The Mets should tee off on him.
Core Studs
- Pete Alonso has crushed 11 homers with 31 runs, 43 RBIs, a .390 OBP, .251 ISO, .400 wOBA, .427 xwOBA and 160 wRC+ in 246 plate appearances this season.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded a .358 OBP, .266 ISO and 155 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
- In 185 plate appearances this season, Ryan O’Hearn has hit nine homers with 24 runs, 21 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .427 OBP, .213 ISO, .425 wOBA, .405 xwOBA and 184 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- In Miguel Vargas‘s last 131 plate appearances, he’s hit eight homers with 19 runs, 20 RBIs, a .382 OBP, .291 ISO and 179 wRC+.
- Jackson Holliday has hit six homers with a .344 OBP, .193 ISO and 141 wRC+ in 160 plate appearances against righties this season.
- In 251 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023, Starling Marte has hit four homers with a .351 OBP, .112 ISO and 112 wRC+.
Friday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Miguel Vargas: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Sleeper) (2.38x)
Miguel Vargas: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Underdog) (1.35x)
Zach Eflin isn’t the most challenging matchup for Vargas tonight. The veteran righty has allowed a .278 batting average and .435 SLG to 413 righties since last year. Additionally, Eflin has walked only 2.7% of the righties he’s faced since last season. Meanwhile, in Vargas’s last 31 games and 131 plate appearances, he’s tallied 19 singles, 10 doubles, eight homers, a .316 batting average, .607 SLG and .291 ISO. He surpassed 1.5 total bases in 16 of his past 31 games.
Gunnar Henderson: 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Sleeper) (1.64x)
Gunnar Henderson: 8.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Underdog)
Henderson is taking complete advantage of the platoon advantage in his suddenly hitter-friendly home ballpark. In 64 plate appearances against righties at home this season, Henderson has rattled off 20 hits (10 singles, five doubles, one triple and four homers), a .391 OBP, .322 ISO and 200 wRC+.
Ryan O’Hearn: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.64x)
Ryan O’Hearn: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog) (0.92x)
O’Hearn is also going off against righties at home. In 70 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers at Oriole Park at Camden Yards this season, O’Hearn has recorded 14 singles, one double, six homers, a .339 batting average, .414 OBP, .306 ISO and 205 wRC+.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
