Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate has 12 games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The suggested pick ’em choices from Sleeper and Underdog are from the 12-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Paul Skenes (PIT) at STL
Paul Skenes is pitching well this year. However, I’m fixated on his road dominance. According to FanGraphs, in 80 career innings on the road, Skenes has a 1.24 ERA, 2.04 xFIP, 0.78 WHIP, 5.4 BB% and 36.6 K%.
Skenes’s matchup is challenging tonight. The Cardinals are tied for 11th in wRC+ (108) with an 18.9 K% versus righties and third in wRC+ (126) with a 17.4 K% at home this year. However, the Pirates are -135, and the game’s total is 7.0 runs.
Chris Sale (ATL) vs. CIN
Chris Sale is nipping at Skenes’s heels for the top pitcher on tonight’s slate. Sale’s 4.84 ERA in seven starts spanning 35.1 innings this year isn’t eye-catching for the right reasons. However, his underlying data is much better. Sale has had the following stats this season.
- 3.32 xERA
- 3.26 xFIP
- 2.96 SIERA
- 1.42 WHIP
- One win
- One quality start
- 5.7 BB%
- 29.3 K%
- 14.0 SwStr%
- 30.3 CSW%
- 106 stuff+
- 102 location+
- 99 pitching+
Sale can excel tonight in a plus matchup. The Reds are tied for 14th in wRC+ (91) with a 22.6 K% versus southpaws. However, they’re fourth in wRC+ (120) with a 22.8 K% on the road. Nevertheless, the Braves are -230, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Matthew Liberatore (STL) vs. PIT
Matthew Liberatore is a viable GPP pick on FanDuel and the ideal SP2 in all game types at DraftKings. He’s breaking out this year. In six starts spanning 34 innings, Liberatore has a 3.44 ERA, 2.94 xERA, 2.91 xFIP, 3.20 SIERA and 0.97 WHIP. The lefty also has a 2.3 BB%, 22.6 K%, 28.2 CSW%, 102 stuff+, 105 location+ and 105 pitching+. Liberatore’s underlying data is excellent.
The southpaw’s matchup is also excellent. The Pirates are 24th in wRC+ (72) with a 25.3 K% versus lefties and 28th in wRC+ (77) with a 23.2 K% on the road in 2025. Finally, while the Red Birds are +115, the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.0 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Among tonight’s probable starters on the DFS main slate, Cade Povich has the fourth-highest ERA (5.16), the second-highest xERA (6.10), the seventh-highest xFIP (4.52) and the sixth-highest SIERA (4.51). He’s also dreadful against righties, yielding a .372 wOBA to 357 right-handed batters since last season.
Sutter Health Park has the second-highest park factor for runs (125), and Emerson Hancock is a train wreck. In four starts this season, Hancock had a 6.62 ERA, 5.03 xERA, 3.84 xFIP, 4.05 SIERA and 1.75 WHIP. Since last season, he’s ceded a .329 wOBA to lefties and a .373 wOBA to righties.
Core Studs
- Brent Rooker has had a .338 OBP, .249 ISO and 140 wRC+ versus righties since 2023.
- In 215 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, Byron Buxton has had eight homers, a .316 OBP, .216 ISO and 118 wRC+.
- Tyler Soderstrom has nine homers, 23 runs, 25 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .344 OBP, .235 ISO, .373 wOBA, .390 xwOBA and 145 wRC+ in 36 games and 151 plate appearances this year.
Value Plays/Punts
- Ryan Jeffers has hit 15 homers with a .350 OBP, .257 ISO and 139 wRC+ in 261 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.
- In 243 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, Carlos Correa has hit 11 homers with a .360 OBP, .226 ISO and 138 wRC+.
- Colt Keith has hit three homers with a .380 OBP, .175 ISO and 132 wRC+ in 79 plate appearances against righties this year and is cheap exposure to Coors Field tonight.
Tuesday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Byron Buxton: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Sleeper) (1.75x)
Byron Buxton: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Underdog)
In 215 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, Buxton has had 50 hits (26 singles, 14 doubles, two triples and eight homers), a .258 batting average, .474 slugging and .216 ISO. Conversely, Povich has surrendered 92 hits (55 singles, 20 doubles, one triple and 16 homers), a .288 batting average and .508 slugging to 357 righties faced since last season.
Carlos Correa: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.61x)
Carlos Correa: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog) (0.87x)
Correa has the same favorable matchup as Buxton, and Correa’s lineup spot in a righty-laden lineup should provide him with run-production opportunities. Furthermore, Correa is in good form. In his previous 10 games, Correa has had 13 hits, a .317 batting average, five runs and four RBIs. He’s surpassed 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs in six of his previous 10 games.
Brent Rooker: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Sleeper) (1.97x)
Brent Rooker: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Underdog) (1.06x)
In 36 games and 159 plate appearances this year, Rooker has 35 hits (19 singles, six doubles, one triple and nine homers), a .241 batting average, .280 xBA, .483 slugging, .559 xSLG and .241 ISO. Rooker’s outlook for total bases will be aided by his ballpark factors and matchup. Sutter Health Park has park factors of 110 for hits, 96 for singles, 145 for doubles, 128 for triples and 132 for homers. Finally, since last season, Hancock has coughed up 48 hits (28 singles, seven doubles, one triple and 12 homers), a .284 batting average and .550 slugging to 181 righties.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
