While the 2025 NFL regular season is still months away, now is the time to start preparing for redraft leagues. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.
Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft values based on Yahoo ADP for redraft leagues.
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Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on Yahoo
Jared Goff (DET) – ADP 65.8 | QB8
Last year, Goff had the best season of his career, finishing as the QB6, averaging 19.1 fantasy points per game. He set career highs in several categories, including completion rate (72.4%), passing touchdowns (37), and quarterback rating (111.8). Yet, fantasy players should temper expectations for Goff this season. Detroit lost offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to the Chicago Bears. More importantly, Goff is primed for touchdown regression. Last year, he posted a career-high 6.9% passing touchdown rate. By comparison, his previous career best was 5.9% while his career average is 4.8%.
James Cook (BUF) – ADP 30.9 | RB13
Many were shocked to see Cook finish last season as the RB8, averaging 15.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he had 16 rushing touchdowns and two receiving scores in 2024, leading the league in rushing touchdowns. By comparison, the former Georgia star had four rushing touchdowns and five receiving scores over his first two years in the NFL. Cook’s a clear-cut touchdown regression candidate. Furthermore, the star running back and the Bills are in the middle of messy contract talks, which could lead to a training camp holdout.
Aaron Jones (MIN) – ADP 63.2 | RB23
Jones quietly had a disappointing 2024 season. He ended the year as the RB20 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 12.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per outing despite seeing the majority of backfield touches. More importantly, the veteran will have significant competition for touches this season after the Vikings traded for Jordan Mason. Furthermore, Jones is on the wrong side of 30 and has injury history, making him a massive risk at his low-end RB2 ADP. I would rather wait and draft Mason four rounds later than Jones at his price.
Terry McLaurin (WAS) – ADP 35.8 | WR15
The Commanders improved their wide receiver core this offseason, trading for Deebo Samuel Sr. However, McLaurin remains the team’s clear-cut No. 1 wide receiver. Yet, fantasy players should avoid drafting him at his WR15 ADP. He finished last year as the WR6 overall and the WR14 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 13.3 half-point PPR fantasy points per outing. More importantly, McLaurin is a clear-cut touchdown regression candidate after totaling 13 receiving touchdowns in 2024. By comparison, he had 25 receiving touchdowns over his other five seasons in the NFL.
DJ Moore (CHI) – ADP 49.4 | WR20
While many were afraid to draft him last year after the Bears added Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze in the offseason, Moore finished as the WR16, averaging 11.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite playing on a dysfunctional offense. Unfortunately, he will have even more target competition in 2025 after Chicago used their top two picks in the NFL Draft on Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III. More importantly, don’t be surprised if Ben Johnson makes the Bears a run-first offense after having success with that mindset in Detroit.
Brock Bowers (LV) – ADP 16.4 | TE1
Fantasy players should have no problem drafting Bowers as the first tight end off the board. While his early second-round ADP is slightly overvalued, sometimes you have to reach for your guy. However, fantasy players should wait and draft Trey McBride at his price instead. He is the TE2 in ADP but comes off the board nearly a full round later (25.7) than Bowers. Both tight ends are elite fantasy options and worthy of top 30 picks, so why pay for Bowers when you can get McBride at a discount?
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.
