When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average. Let’s dive into a few notable fantasy football players below. And you can check out which experts are higher or lower than our expert consensus rankings using our Fantasy Football Rankings Comparison Tools.
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Fantasy Football Draft Advice: Players to Avoid
Let’s dive into draft picks our experts avoid.
Draft Picks Experts Avoid
| Expert Consensus’s Rank | Player | Andrew Erickson’s Rank | Diff. |
| 5 | Amon-Ra St. Brown DET – WR | 9 | 4.0 |
| 14 | Tyreek Hill MIA – WR | 25 | 11 |
| 20 | DJ Moore CHI – WR | 24 | 4 |
| 22 | Zay Flowers BAL – WR | 26 | 4 |
| 23 | Courtland Sutton DEN – WR | 29 | 6 |
| 24 | DeVonta Smith PHI – WR | 33 | 9 |
| 28 | Chris Godwin TB – WR | 32 | 4 |
| 29 | Chris Olave NO – WR | 39 | 10 |
| 31 | Jordan Addison MIN – WR | 40 | 9 |
| 35 | George Pickens DAL – WR | 41 | 6 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown delivered another elite season in 2024, finishing as the WR3 in both total and per-game scoring while leading the NFL in red-zone receptions. However, he did outperform his expected fantasy output (14.6 expected points per game, WR18), and his target share dipped to 23% over the final seven games as Jameson Williams and Sam LaPorta gained steam. With Ben Johnson gone and increased competition for targets, there’s reason to be cautious about repeating a top-5 finish – but St. Brown’s talent and chemistry with Jared Goff keep his floor securely in WR1 territory.
– Andrew Erickson
DeVonta Smith‘s 2024 season was a tale of two roles – thriving when others were hurt, but fading when the offense was at full strength. He posted career lows in receptions, yards, and targets but salvaged value with a career-high 8 TDs, finishing as the WR30 overall and WR23 in points per game (13 games). However, in eight games with both A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert active, Smith averaged just 8.3 fantasy points (WR51). When one missed time, he jumped to 14.7 points per game (WR8).
– Andrew Erickson
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